UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18a0480209e352ffe0da8b814e2e2013c1069474c2ebdfeec857087409b4af45

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Kevin Vallejosof Josh Emmett, Kevin Vallejos
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $408,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,162 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Josh Emmett	19c	34,264$6,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,638.94	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Josh Emmett	19c	25,471$4,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,928.48	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Josh Emmett	18c	24,735$4,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,552.85	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Josh Emmett	18c	22,000$4,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,032.86	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Josh Emmett	19c	20,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Josh Emmett	16c	16,511$2,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,721.94	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Josh Emmett	20c	13,027$2,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,634.55	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Josh Emmett	18c	13,010$2,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,361.23	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Josh Emmett	19c	9,710$1,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844.97	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Josh Emmett	17c	8,741$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,467.12	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f9f…6a22backed Josh Emmett	18c	8,070$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Josh Emmett	18c	8,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd6…84cdbacked Josh Emmett	19c	8,000$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Josh Emmett	18c	6,115$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.68	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Josh Emmett	18c	6,074$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.24	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kevin Vallejos	78c	5,180$4,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.81	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Josh Emmett	19c	5,068$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…ceffbacked Josh Emmett	0c	5,047$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Josh Emmett	19c	3,500$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Josh Emmett	18c	3,050$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Josh Emmett	19c	2,489$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.91	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a16…e158backed Josh Emmett	13c	2,227$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Kevin Vallejos	80c	2,099$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.88	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Josh Emmett	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Josh Emmett	19c	1,943$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.12	267	36%96 W · 171 L	-16.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac99…228bbacked Josh Emmett	26c	1,913$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Josh Emmett	19c	1,795$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Josh Emmett	18c	1,688$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.27	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Josh Emmett	19c	1,563$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.95	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…68d7backed Josh Emmett	19c	1,316$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b3…46febacked Josh Emmett	19c	1,306$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.79	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682a…0daebacked Josh Emmett	22c	1,140$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.9	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Josh Emmett	19c	1,115$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.29	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa399…b304backed Josh Emmett	13c	1,112$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f16…301ebacked Josh Emmett	18c	1,008$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.4	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Josh Emmett	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Josh Emmett	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46e2…f8bbbacked Josh Emmett	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf26…609fbacked Josh Emmett	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.94	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Josh Emmett	18c	883.02$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…4a4bbacked Josh Emmett	18c	849.56$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Josh Emmett	18c	843$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.74	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Josh Emmett	19c	789.47$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3a9…9047backed Josh Emmett	19c	789.47$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Josh Emmett	19c	766.32$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…4c96backed Josh Emmett	18c	700$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Josh Emmett	20c	695$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…1a81backed Josh Emmett	18c	611.02$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ae6…899dbacked Josh Emmett	18c	600$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7465…caa8backed Kevin Vallejos	79c	599.96$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.99	181	60.8%110 W · 71 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Josh Emmett	19c	557.46$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Josh Emmett	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Josh Emmett	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Josh Emmett	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e58…5cf7backed Josh Emmett	18c	548.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	28cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a0…85eebacked Josh Emmett	19c	528.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ea…1a3ebacked Josh Emmett	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…3b17backed Josh Emmett	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked Josh Emmett	19c	521.05$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7565…da11backed Josh Emmett	20c	501.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.38	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaba5…9a02backed Josh Emmett	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…3d6abacked Josh Emmett	20c	499.96$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Josh Emmett	18c	485.86$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.66	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda40…bfc0backed Josh Emmett	19c	473.95$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.05	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71e1…c440backed Josh Emmett	21c	469.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2997…cf48backed Josh Emmett	19c	467.2$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.45	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Kevin Vallejos	66c	466.02$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.35	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Josh Emmett	18c	446.74$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…4af3backed Josh Emmett	17c	441.73$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed Josh Emmett	18c	433.18$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.97	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x940c…6d07backed Josh Emmett	19c	431.58$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kevin Vallejos	79c	428.53$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.99	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f46…6c02backed Josh Emmett	20c	413.25$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Josh Emmett	19c	400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9c7…5d22backed Josh Emmett	11c	395.04$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Josh Emmett	19c	394.74$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda79…daecbacked Josh Emmett	19c	370.07$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.23	184	40.8%75 W · 109 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Josh Emmett	17c	355.81$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.49	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6662…3503backed Josh Emmett	18c	335.56$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Josh Emmett	17c	333$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.61	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x861b…d8cabacked Josh Emmett	19c	322.21$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.64	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Josh Emmett	19c	304$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.54	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Josh Emmett	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Josh Emmett	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9dd…ca07backed Josh Emmett	19c	287.45$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.8	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-5.5wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Josh Emmett	20c	277.94$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.4wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Josh Emmett	19c	268.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.94	181	41.4%75 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Josh Emmett	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9092…554ebacked Josh Emmett	19c	259.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Josh Emmett	19c	258$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.02	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Josh Emmett	19c	252.63$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Josh Emmett	20c	252.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff3…d376backed Josh Emmett	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…2065backed Josh Emmett	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Josh Emmett	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Josh Emmett	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bb…3336backed Josh Emmett	19c	247.5$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Josh Emmett	18c	247.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb010…8295backed Josh Emmett	20c	246.58$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Josh Emmett	19c	240$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Josh Emmett win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Kevin Vallejos win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event