NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f43946711086f03cb6fafa809c891755a4de7cd35bab0d7b5a54620584213fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 347,138$183,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,297.37 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 159,432$74,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,464.88 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 46,872$22,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,373.48 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 47c | 46,102$21,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,434.25 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 25,316$11,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,421.69 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 22,163$10,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760.51 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 48c | 15,520$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.58 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 14,838$7,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,715.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…461ebacked Under | 49c | 5,910$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 4,476$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 48c | 3,701$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 2,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.39 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,661$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.66 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.49 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.44 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 1,162$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 52c | 987.38$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.44 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 871.84$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.01 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 41c | 751.96$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 745$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.56 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 53c | 722$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 598.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 592.13$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 49c | 562.78$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 503.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 370$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 331.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 316.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 76c | 313$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 51c | 299.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 54c | 287.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Over | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 49c | 230.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5f…e176backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 54c | 185.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Over | 54c | 184.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 49c | 183$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…91c0backed Under | 47c | 178.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…716cbacked Over | 53c | 177.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 43c | 177.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…364cbacked Over | 53c | 177.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…1ed4backed Under | 47c | 176$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…b38dbacked Under | 47c | 176$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…e5e8backed Under | 47c | 176$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…52d2backed Over | 53c | 175.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…6015backed Under | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…a952backed Under | 47c | 172$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…2827backed Over | 53c | 171.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…182cbacked Over | 53c | 171.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7a73backed Under | 47c | 171$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff23…c79bbacked Over | 53c | 170.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…6c28backed Under | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…7864backed Over | 53c | 166.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f29…0802backed Under | 47c | 165$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…f28bbacked Over | 53c | 164.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…676cbacked Over | 53c | 162.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…50d1backed Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…5a0fbacked Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c58…4761backed Under | 47c | 161$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…7e02backed Over | 53c | 160.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be1…c755backed Over | 53c | 160.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…c87bbacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…6ed8backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b93…7cdfbacked Over | 53c | 159.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…b2babacked Over | 53c | 157.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d8…af35backed Under | 47c | 156$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…4674backed Over | 53c | 154.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…7a27backed Over | 53c | 154.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…9512backed Under | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd381…9c4dbacked Under | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…696ebacked Under | 47c | 153$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…ae1dbacked Under | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…9c83backed Over | 53c | 149.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…7c47backed Over | 53c | 148.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 148.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…ef4abacked Under | 47c | 148$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…62d6backed Over | 53c | 147.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 51c | 147.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 52c | 146.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Capitals vs. BluesBlues won
- Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.