TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUSof 3DMAX, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$509,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$643,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed FOKUS47c103,723$48,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,322.353438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FOKUS41c72,170$29,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,662.0339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX59c30,000$17,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,699.9772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX59c26,029$15,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,346.6125842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX46c20,114$9,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,341.753,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX42c16,670$7,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,007.913,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed 3DMAX53c10,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX55c10,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.9981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed 3DMAX13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.995438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX41c9,761$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.242,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01d…4716backed 3DMAX0c7,630$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.972030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 3DMAX59c6,988$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,123.1122049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked 3DMAX0c6,272$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7213315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed FOKUS41c5,882$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,470.216650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX39c5,043$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.216,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed 3DMAX60c4,880$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92819645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX46c4,522$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.944,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX60c4,040$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.445,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX52c3,912$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.722,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX50c3,320$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.941,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX52c3,152$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.871,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed 3DMAX28c3,072$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.33828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 3DMAX52c3,028$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX49c2,995$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.52,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed 3DMAX55c2,628$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.9221941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 3DMAX21c2,611$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.021,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX6c2,585$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed FOKUS41c2,509$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.4512154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed FOKUS40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50029858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked 3DMAX56c2,467$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.2735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX37c2,452$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.1878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed FOKUS41c2,407$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.1136742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked 3DMAX57c2,370$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.929046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX40c2,309$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.7287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX49c2,300$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.252,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed 3DMAX60c2,227$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.3324346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX50c2,213$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.131,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 3DMAX49c2,150$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.939248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 3DMAX42c2,013$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.2849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed 3DMAX55c2,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09015648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FOKUS40c1,968$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.81,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed FOKUS55c1,935$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.6312653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked FOKUS39c1,900$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.9884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed 3DMAX60c1,754$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.1320946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked 3DMAX60c1,627$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97612465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked 3DMAX20c1,600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX56c1,525$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.353,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed 3DMAX59c1,494$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX40c1,418$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.081,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed 3DMAX1c1,317$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0239946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x918a…6a0cbacked FOKUS41c1,263$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8c5…0b0abacked FOKUS44c1,094$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.673046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed 3DMAX37c1,040$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8812452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FOKUS55c998.29$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4244657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd4…39b8backed FOKUS43c965.74$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.446637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed FOKUS51c945.65$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.372254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked 3DMAX59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked FOKUS62c836.62$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.517148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed FOKUS41c835.2$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.7722734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 3DMAX60c821.88$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1360248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed 3DMAX61c817.67$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0517954.7%98 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fc…381abacked FOKUS41c797.38$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.023727%10 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked 3DMAX58c797.24$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed 3DMAX60c795.01$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.019850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS41c784.22$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.695,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed 3DMAX59c780.32$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.3931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked FOKUS55c780.31$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9213051.5%67 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FOKUS59c780.15$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.881,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX59c776.96$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.41,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…5644backed 3DMAX59c755.69$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked FOKUS40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45029739.4%117 W · 180 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX47c733.55$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.985,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked FOKUS41c724.63$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5313553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked FOKUS41c705.8$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4210331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FOKUS41c705.8$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4275145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb23…1bebbacked FOKUS42c684.02$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43e…a97dbacked FOKUS42c664$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed 3DMAX59c661.29$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1618752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked 3DMAX55c646.02$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3112148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4708…4d3dbacked 3DMAX59c616.63$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed 3DMAX53c600$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed 3DMAX42c580.03$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2413059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed 3DMAX58c521.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.494555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed 3DMAX36c520.87$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5117840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed 3DMAX37c520.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.447342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9390…6a88backed 3DMAX6c511.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.191631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed 3DMAX42c501.07$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.569635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FOKUS64c500.01$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 3DMAX59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29513049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked 3DMAX59c499.97$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9813242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX35c495.15$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.264,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed FOKUS41c470.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6224429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX52c443$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3297952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 3DMAX52c434.49$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed 3DMAX59c428$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5250043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed FOKUS41c427.03$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed 3DMAX60c414.65$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7926344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FOKUS55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18078348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.