UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184e09249b1a1c03a0ca8d343b68c919a7388419fd7d677c6078eac5be43db63

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tommy McMillenof Manolo Zecchini, Tommy McMillen
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $192,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $216,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x01bf…070dbacked Manolo Zecchini	13c	20,290$2,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,686.54	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	12,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	11,908$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.01	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	10,617$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.7	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	10,066$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.58	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	9,031$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.68	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	7,886$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.66	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	7,684$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.9	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Manolo Zecchini	18c	5,161$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.75	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	4,646$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.9	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	2,999$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.79	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Manolo Zecchini	1c	2,822$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	2,531$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.6	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	2,376$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.25	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	1,944$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	1,810$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.65	136	47.8%65 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Manolo Zecchini	11c	1,750$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.5	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Manolo Zecchini	11c	1,431$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.07	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	1,107$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.08	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Manolo Zecchini	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Manolo Zecchini	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0441…e90fbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	949.47$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.37	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3211…49e2backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	889.03$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.68	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	799.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	789.33$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.72	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	757.76$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.93	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	749.11$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.89	86	36%31 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	725.29$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.29	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	698.08$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.73	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Manolo Zecchini	17c	665.13$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.97	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	662.15$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.9	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	635.06$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.9	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	632.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.9	128	33.6%43 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Manolo Zecchini	11c	628.06$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.09	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca4…f852backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	541.94$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.87	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	506.13$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.92	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Tommy McMillen	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe93…3638backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	499.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	494.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.89	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	474.5$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.18	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	427.16$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	291	33.7%98 W · 193 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…029bbacked Manolo Zecchini	11c	399.95$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	+8.8wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x792d…398cbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	386.27$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.93	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ea…9f54backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	381.93$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	351.04$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.23	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Manolo Zecchini	14c	338.71$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.42	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e80cbacked Manolo Zecchini	14c	338.71$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7008…d2f5backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	316.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7358…bf79backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	263.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Manolo Zecchini	18c	261.84$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.37	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	254.52$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a04…2071backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	253.07$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	95	42.1%40 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Manolo Zecchini	13c	249.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	230.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.83	155	40.6%63 W · 92 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5a…952fbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	225.23$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	217.92$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.71	267	36%96 W · 171 L	-16.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	217.66$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc0…d9f4backed Manolo Zecchini	18c	216.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	208.28$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.13	132	21.2%28 W · 104 L	-11.7wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Manolo Zecchini	13c	199.95$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914b…b84abacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	196.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e2…96b4backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	193.75$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Manolo Zecchini	13c	193.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.03	181	41.4%75 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	189.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.47	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-66%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecd…1419backed Manolo Zecchini	9c	188.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a36…428fbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	180.43$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	170.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Manolo Zecchini	11c	169$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	86	38.4%33 W · 53 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Manolo Zecchini	16c	162.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d2…45eebacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	158.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9107…46d6backed Manolo Zecchini	12c	157.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-41%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	150$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03a…1b42backed Manolo Zecchini	13c	145.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	142.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	142.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x38d0…5ea8backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	135.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8a…d547backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	126.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x358a…a3ebbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	126.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ba…46b3backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	126.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…e1dfbacked Manolo Zecchini	15c	122.44$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b7…6c72backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	115.16$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9b…a28abacked Manolo Zecchini	14c	104.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1b6…dfc1backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	101.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ba…d462backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	101.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1995…84c6backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	101.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8b…6cd9backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	101.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd124…2cefbacked Manolo Zecchini	13c	99.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+34%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Manolo Zecchini	11c	99.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e3…cb10backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	99.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98dc…e3f0backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	94.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	94.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904c…2e6cbacked Manolo Zecchini	12c	94.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	31cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b96…31d3backed Manolo Zecchini	15c	91.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa561…cf19backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	81.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Manolo Zecchini	14c	77.26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd051…53e1backed Tommy McMillen	80c	43.58$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7699…7e3cbacked Manolo Zecchini	50c	35.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4d…8626backed Tommy McMillen	50c	34.87$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039b…89a3backed Manolo Zecchini	50c	32.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc2…592ebacked Tommy McMillen	50c	32.11$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event