NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76c96f5e64b5306ff2831fcfc26bbc9e14f550d3084d8fcad75191e2061526a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Oilers | 71c | 114,186$81,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,167.91 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 42c | 100,416$42,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,520.04 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Ducks | 29c | 82,480$23,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,559.03 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 57c | 31,231$17,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,325.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 42c | 20,366$8,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,540.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 30c | 12,287$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,648.76 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Oilers | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Ducks | 29c | 9,574$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Oilers | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Oilers | 70c | 4,878$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.45 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 37c | 4,372$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.45 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…3b77backed Oilers | 78c | 4,258$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Ducks | 25c | 3,441$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.08 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Ducks | 29c | 3,180$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Ducks | 29c | 3,054$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.18 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks | 35c | 2,546$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.67 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Ducks | 50c | 2,187$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.36 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed Ducks | 29c | 2,022$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 72c | 2,012$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.54 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Oilers | 38c | 2,006$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.41 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Ducks | 22c | 1,996$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.58 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…8847backed Oilers | 2c | 1,837$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 29c | 1,651$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Oilers | 43c | 1,564$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.24 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Oilers | 70c | 1,434$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…ad1abacked Ducks | 52c | 1,317$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 22c | 1,309$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 3c | 1,237$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Oilers | 70c | 1,188$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Ducks | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Ducks | 70c | 898.27$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Ducks | 30c | 699.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Oilers | 20c | 672.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Oilers | 22c | 659.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Oilers | 16c | 634.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Ducks | 80c | 624.04$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Ducks | 57c | 601.04$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.04 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Oilers | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…3179backed Oilers | 26c | 553.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers | 69c | 530.67$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.16 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…608dbacked Ducks | 31c | 500.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed Ducks | 66c | 447.69$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Oilers | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Ducks | 68c | 408.85$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 29c | 404.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.22 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b1…315abacked Ducks | 22c | 398.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ducks | 76c | 363.9$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…bfc0backed Ducks | 28c | 307.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed Ducks | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dd…14f2backed Oilers | 35c | 288.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Oilers | 24c | 280.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…9650backed Oilers | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Oilers | 67c | 277.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Oilers | 20c | 272.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Oilers | 42c | 265.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…d0d1backed Oilers | 35c | 258.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Ducks | 36c | 240.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Oilers | 72c | 240.34$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…eb81backed Oilers | 34c | 239.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…6e8fbacked Oilers | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ducks | 78c | 209.09$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc27…4fa6backed Oilers | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Oilers | 71c | 207.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Ducks | 77c | 202.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Oilers | 21c | 199.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Ducks | 32c | 190.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…a305backed Oilers | 22c | 189.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Ducks | 68c | 163.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…10fcbacked Oilers | 25c | 159.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Ducks | 79c | 149.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ducks | 30c | 146.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Oilers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Oilers | 43c | 135.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Oilers | 73c | 134.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…81aabacked Ducks | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e76…a6aabacked Ducks | 78c | 125.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Oilers | 33c | 125.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…8f81backed Ducks | 55c | 124.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Ducks | 75c | 122.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Oilers | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Ducks | 64c | 115.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Oilers | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…df8abacked Oilers | 36c | 112.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…8ee6backed Oilers | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Ducks | 70c | 109.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Oilers | 43c | 108.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…139cbacked Oilers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Oilers | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Ducks | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…dc1abacked Oilers | 20c | 99.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Oilers | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…6b18backed Ducks | 79c | 98.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Ducks | 29c | 97.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…f2d3backed Oilers | 21c | 95.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…1a75backed Oilers | 56c | 92.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Ducks | 61c | 84.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Ducks | 35c | 81.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Oilers | 54c | 80.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Oilers | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…3092backed Oilers | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.