TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$395,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,669 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Nets50c185,845$92,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,921.3520545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers50c83,237$41,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,429.531,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers50c71,148$35,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,455.291,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers51c58,887$30,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,854.641,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers50c46,800$23,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,316.361,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets49c36,000$17,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,64043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets49c31,372$15,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,397.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers50c30,362$15,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,109.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Nets48c9,224$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.4114842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Nets50c8,502$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.155143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Nets48c8,354$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,01125049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Nets49c8,159$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9987451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Nets19c7,999$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.855234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Nets49c7,551$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers49c7,382$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.811,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers50c6,066$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03358449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nets49c5,490$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Nets49c4,960$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.5621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nets51c4,935$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.21,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Nets49c4,077$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.72832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Trail Blazers51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Nets49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets48c2,979$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.761,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57d…611cbacked Nets49c2,949$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4452055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets49c2,873$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.685,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd21…47a2backed Nets52c2,369$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec0…ef2abacked Nets52c2,369$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…0152backed Trail Blazers48c2,298$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba7…a8cfbacked Trail Blazers48c2,161$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa610…30fcbacked Trail Blazers48c2,123$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Trail Blazers52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084040%16 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9701…6faebacked Nets52c1,899$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers52c1,855$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers80c1,684$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.073,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…de3cbacked Trail Blazers48c1,658$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6056…0fefbacked Nets52c1,620$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets49c1,542$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers51c1,200$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.43,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets48c1,137$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Nets49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Trail Blazers47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9918651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Trail Blazers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Nets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Nets48c861$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2822143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Nets49c833$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.176946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nets51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Trail Blazers51c779.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1218748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Trail Blazers52c776.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5714152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Trail Blazers50c607.69$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets49c601.67$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Trail Blazers50c585$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.520537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets23c535.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Nets49c520.41$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Nets49c411.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Nets49c410.2$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20117349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Trail Blazers51c392.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets48c338.89$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.822,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Trail Blazers52c322.87$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.873938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Trail Blazers52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.521049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Trail Blazers66c298.96$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2959140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Nets18c283.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets51c282.87$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.261,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Trail Blazers53c238$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8613352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Trail Blazers53c238$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8611453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Trail Blazers52c236$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2816845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Trail Blazers52c216$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6813148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Nets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Trail Blazers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Nets25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Trail Blazers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9626745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Nets50c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Trail Blazers57c172.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5513954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Nets48c165.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers51c161.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Trail Blazers53c157.08$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Trail Blazers52c153.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Trail Blazers47c145.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.152045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Trail Blazers52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2320247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Trail Blazers79c140.06$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0624856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Trail Blazers52c136$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2813950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Trail Blazers51c134.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1528852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Nets53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b6…4921backed Trail Blazers48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Trail Blazers51c124$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.766442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebe…bcd0backed Trail Blazers48c123$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Trail Blazers53c121$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.874443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Trail Blazers52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.623946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c8…7c7dbacked Nets52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Trail Blazers51c112.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9651438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3852…3d5cbacked Nets52c111$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Trail Blazers52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.816245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Trail Blazers52c105.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2437850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Trail Blazers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Trail Blazers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4845251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Trail Blazers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Trail Blazers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Trail Blazers51c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.558348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.