TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,318 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c9,384$4,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.182,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c6,295$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c5,032$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.331,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over45c4,865$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.7534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over45c4,172$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.432,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c3,808$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c3,695$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c2,430$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.4165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c2,007$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,937$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c1,676$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.374,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under40c1,420$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.418835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over54c1,177$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under44c944.99$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9428245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c942.61$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.832,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under32c822$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under45c776.21$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.81,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under59c762.54$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c720.23$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.912,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…28f4backed Under60c640.54$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under29c525$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5631455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Under56c500$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27812536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under55c464.13$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.623,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over52c415.45$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6718052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under36c411.45$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Under48c380.7$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5714248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c379.05$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.655,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over44c333.91$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c301.89$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.041,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16521049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over67c293$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1119145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Over57c288.64$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.642161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under40c276.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under28c267.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.953647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c207.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.331,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under36c199.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7218157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Under57c195.68$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.548347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Under21c190.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c183.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.011,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over70c180.91$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under49c180.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under43c175.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.191,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c154.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c144.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.712,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over69c144.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1919166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over43c125.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4d…3970backed Under55c120.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.643964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c116.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over55c112.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over73c109.72$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.726861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under64c105$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8511354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under30c99.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.87154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Under42c93.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.332751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under56c87.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under53c87.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3745445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over42c86.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0336154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Over50c84.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.285356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under34c78.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6634047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over64c74.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Under28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under53c70.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c68.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under18c67.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.442948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Over57c64.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6753250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over52c64.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1918261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over52c63.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6614157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.125138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.23167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under57c59.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.857028.6%20 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb083…d6a5backed Over72c56.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.821758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Under38c54.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under28c54.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2227138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over60c54.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over63c53.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under38c50.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under36c49.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed Over48c48.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.225550.9%28 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e03…ea8bbacked Under43c46.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c45.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ab…663dbacked Under38c44.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over56c44.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4531345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under59c44.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.111242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa1…2c8abacked Under48c41.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over54c40.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7952053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6619…e929backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Under44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.754245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b0…2f69backed Over44c39.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.883630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00ba…6855backed Under45c38.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Over46c38.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.863823.7%9 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.