TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,259 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c16,963$8,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,821.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c15,680$8,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,158.031,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under51c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c8,560$4,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c7,383$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.331,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over48c6,716$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.541,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over49c6,120$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c5,379$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over48c4,453$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.7811653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over48c4,064$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.049952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under56c3,871$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.951,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c3,696$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.8349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over48c3,541$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.1136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c3,297$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.281,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Over44c3,255$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.544647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c2,942$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over47c2,728$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.8411335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c2,629$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under54c1,666$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.642,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c1,619$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.7570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9913148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under54c1,294$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.5129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c1,205$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.562,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over48c1,126$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.4717144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1462…ef6bbacked Under55c909.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47765762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under53c784.61$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41218147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Over45c778.98$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.446946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c653.06$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0687453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over47c641.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3421950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3259245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c611.64$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c576.64$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.091,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6716159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6719045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under52c414.72$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6622752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c392.38$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.891,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…4eb0backed Over48c385.42$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.422030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under53c375$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7515446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c330.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15321049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c279.21$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c257.09$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under34c206.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2318835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c198.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c198$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9820154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over45c197.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2414634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c191$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.052,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under52c190.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over49c175.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6120350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over48c171.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0221748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c151$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.891,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x354a…ae3ebacked Over48c123.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.064553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over10c123.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8614438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c122.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c116.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over47c109$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7716845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over48c108.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3321843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5353339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524045%18 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9995548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9918157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over46c97.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over53c91.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under53c83.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2712949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c79.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.423,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under52c77.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.913954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.89958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c66.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.722,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under46c66.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.128852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.514444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under52c56.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.291746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under55c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0432747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…7379backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.516651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c47.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under53c46.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over55c45.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.