NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0992fa37bc1ed77ad9bf8cc2c86a807fd996a13889b65d8766ef42eeddd80f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,679 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 42c | 4,814$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 4,700$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.92 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets | 43c | 1,019$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 880.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nets | 48c | 825$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 10c | 791.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 710.77$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Nets | 42c | 708.81$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.75 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 685.39$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 42c | 660.23$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 527.77$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Nets | 45c | 520.04$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.02 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 420.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Nets | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Nets | 33c | 357.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 346.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 339.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers | 76c | 245.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 43c | 245.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 229.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 224.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Nets | 46c | 217.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Nets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 207.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Nets | 45c | 147.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 143.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 133.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 131.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nets | 42c | 103.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Nets | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Nets | 15c | 98.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 89.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Nets | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 43c | 75.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Nets | 48c | 62.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 61.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Nets | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nets | 43c | 33.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Nets | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets | 43c | 26.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Trail Blazers | 77c | 26.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nets | 44c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…7682backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 24.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 22.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Nets | 45c | 22.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 19.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 14.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Drake Powell: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Noah Clowney: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.