NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec24247428f0749d8e0e381de05f1a6bfc9a9eb3aae4e4c9ff66b5ae094f13f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,973 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 69,273$36,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,572.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 46,100$21,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,667.11 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 27,543$12,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,945.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 22,320$11,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,713.54 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 48c | 12,582$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.42 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Over | 58c | 6,882$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 36c | 5,451$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.95 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 5,447$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.67 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 4,944$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.12 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 3,995$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 52c | 2,811$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.3 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 2,474$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 2,157$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.35 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 1,945$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 1,584$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.04 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 1,301$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,280$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…5847backed Under | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 52c | 1,106$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.85 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,093$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 867$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.28 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 26c | 845.85$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 826.53$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 54c | 784.98$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.87 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 48c | 764.77$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.59 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 66c | 677.41$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 47c | 595.56$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 558$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 512.66$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 61c | 484.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 460.86$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 42c | 427.48$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.62 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 403.6$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 352.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 345.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 66c | 330.74$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 312.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 305.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 303.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 53c | 299.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…d3d8backed Over | 52c | 282.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 31c | 239.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 49c | 228.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 218.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 203.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 200.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 23c | 197.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 197$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 51c | 196.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…8b73backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 55c | 181.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 167.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 53c | 159.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 150.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 48c | 139.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 131.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 78c | 129.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 48c | 123.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Under | 41c | 120.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 52c | 117.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 46c | 116.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Under | 45c | 103.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 101.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 49c | 94.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 45c | 94.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 48c | 85.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 48c | 84.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 52c | 82.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 52c | 76.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Over | 54c | 75.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…f924backed Under | 48c | 72.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c6…36aabacked Over | 66c | 70.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Drake Powell: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nets vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Noah Clowney: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.