TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,791 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Trail Blazers52c76,867$39,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,107.5532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nets45c24,290$10,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,934.0524744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa350…7119backed Nets48c15,625$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Nets47c11,365$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,392.0931643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers55c9,575$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.741,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers55c8,675$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers54c7,290$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.431,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets31c6,409$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…91c8backed Nets49c5,918$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Nets44c5,370$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.818151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.1411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5733…630abacked Nets48c5,246$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Nets48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e86…b154backed Nets49c5,110$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets48c4,568$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets46c4,486$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.312,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a3…ccffbacked Nets48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Nets49c4,130$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.79952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Nets46c3,903$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.4637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Nets48c3,289$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.7270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers54c3,052$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.921,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets47c2,797$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets49c2,430$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.72,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Nets47c2,340$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Nets48c2,270$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.624450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers52c1,600$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.663,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Trail Blazers55c1,515$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.5529040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Nets48c1,500$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.4913148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets48c1,449$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.392,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets48c1,424$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.5787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Nets49c1,390$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68110556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers66c1,316$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.633,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29fe…daf0backed Nets48c1,262$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.7140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets39c1,260$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.273,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…611cbacked Nets45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Nets46c953.57$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Trail Blazers71c947.8$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9643269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets47c853.97$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Nets44c846.96$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6620355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets47c826.05$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nets49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Nets33c789.26$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Trail Blazers55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Trail Blazers52c674$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Nets49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Trail Blazers56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.719845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Nets48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Nets3c487.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Nets4c471.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.445259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Trail Blazers56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4315952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Nets48c418.75$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20132450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets29c396.57$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.452,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Trail Blazers51c392.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1518147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Trail Blazers53c377.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7125753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Trail Blazers55c359.2$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6421049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Trail Blazers58c347.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Nets45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15315240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets49c298.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.071,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nets8c288.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Nets44c282.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12523547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Nets41c268.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nets48c258.72$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.192,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Nets48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers61c246.31$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.251,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Trail Blazers56c244$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3614145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Nets6c232.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Trail Blazers55c226$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Nets29c222.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Nets45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Nets45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers55c218.07$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Trail Blazers60c215.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.074742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Trail Blazers52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.811157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…a67dbacked Trail Blazers52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5653…0c8bbacked Nets49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Trail Blazers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Trail Blazers66c194.76$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6736949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Trail Blazers51c194.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1133748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Trail Blazers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5729345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets43c167.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Trail Blazers51c162.19$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.881,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nets47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Trail Blazers56c158$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5277549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Nets45c157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Trail Blazers66c156.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7520049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets35c150.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.881,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Trail Blazers52c149.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Trail Blazers56c148$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1218744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Nets48c139.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7328056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Trail Blazers56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.24443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Trail Blazers55c124$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.828852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x342d…608cbacked Trail Blazers57c122$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.462458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Trail Blazers52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.410955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Trail Blazers56c105$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Nets48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Nets49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Nets49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nets36c92.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.931,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xaddf…3db9backed Nets14c91.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.461070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.