TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$616,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,683 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c476,030$244,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,247.1787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c157,530$76,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,829.34,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under49c150,709$73,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,840.526253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under48c117,644$56,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,468.9966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,530.281,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c13,854$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650.071,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Under50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00028649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c11,050$5,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3041,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2005341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d61…2454backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a08…5929backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c7,955$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over51c6,498$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.029352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.961,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,218$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under50c3,045$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c3,025$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.393,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c2,566$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.871,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c2,129$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.662,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over50c2,014$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.0636351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7824847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,957$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabc2…34f3backed Under52c1,740$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,582$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under50c1,439$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.7528245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,314$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.062,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over48c1,045$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5420352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under49c1,044$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.444050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c1,008$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over52c964.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6811156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over50c799.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under52c749.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9943544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under41c735.33$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under36c730.83$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9314634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over52c673.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30422746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over52c569.02$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1318648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Under20c509.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0526530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under51c496.74$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.329352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under20c494.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10113751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under29c478.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4118835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under19c468.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8915453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over50c462.21$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c458.2$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2126946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c394.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under53c342.24$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6810748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x242c…e18cbacked Under43c331.62$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.683933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under50c325.81$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16411855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Over51c306$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9412945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under52c303.06$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.466342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Over80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under51c299.46$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15318055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c280.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.411,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c280.5$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2324849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c247.58$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c241$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.321,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over52c233.08$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8842352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c221.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.745,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under52c209.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9821550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f7…32aabacked Over51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.953154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee77…fdb0backed Over50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d1…d03cbacked Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a8…445cbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008456%47 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over52c193.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6529554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under51c192.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2318250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over70c192.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0433837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3147048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under50c185.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9315253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d8…1cccbacked Under55c183.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under51c178.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Under59c170.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c169.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.622,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under37c165.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.751438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under43c164.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5913954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over62c147.52$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.41,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under51c144.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4921753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under51c144.02$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.456258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under51c141.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.069455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over51c136.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.424233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.