Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Beibit Zhukayev vs Quinn Vandecasteele
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x501bb07742a6ef5d1b0462f684bccbdf09443e208476b0a24f6498b5bd617a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinn Vandecasteeleof Beibit Zhukayev, Quinn Vandecasteele
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,357 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 73c | 2,115$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beibit Zhukayev | 29c | 904.4$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Beibit Zhukayev | 36c | 831.11$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.06 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Beibit Zhukayev | 16c | 664.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 71c | 563.57$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 62c | 506.74$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.17 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Beibit Zhukayev | 28c | 495.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 68c | 373.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 57c | 339.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Beibit Zhukayev | 39c | 281.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Beibit Zhukayev | 27c | 266$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 69c | 184.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Beibit Zhukayev | 23c | 181.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 43c | 176.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Beibit Zhukayev | 32c | 154$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beibit Zhukayev | 26c | 126.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 26c | 121.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 17c | 110.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Beibit Zhukayev | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Beibit Zhukayev | 28c | 103.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Beibit Zhukayev | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Beibit Zhukayev | 24c | 83.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Beibit Zhukayev | 34c | 80.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Beibit Zhukayev | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 41c | 60.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 63c | 54.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…47afbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 72c | 50.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…6a38backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 71c | 50.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…3520backed Beibit Zhukayev | 35c | 50.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 71c | 47.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 54c | 43.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 72c | 40.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Beibit Zhukayev | 37c | 35.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Beibit Zhukayev | 34c | 30.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 75c | 30.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Beibit Zhukayev | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…dfa6backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 65c | 22.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 76c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…e929backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 75c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.