TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Paulo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellien

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hugo Dellienof Facundo Acosta, Hugo Dellien
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,294 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Facundo Acosta35c4,781$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.687,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Facundo Acosta55c3,635$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.8817936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Hugo Dellien50c2,643$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Facundo Acosta31c2,376$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Facundo Acosta46c2,344$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.22,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Hugo Dellien42c1,810$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.7555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Facundo Acosta29c1,740$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.669,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Hugo Dellien45c1,535$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.9618250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Facundo Acosta45c1,274$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Hugo Dellien75c1,238$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0233556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Hugo Dellien36c1,100$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9916648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Hugo Dellien39c880.05$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.7429637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Facundo Acosta54c740.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Hugo Dellien51c589.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.82634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Hugo Dellien37c571.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.351,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Hugo Dellien26c561$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1424350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Facundo Acosta63c551.06$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.173844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Facundo Acosta35c436.6$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.811,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Hugo Dellien80c435$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Facundo Acosta65c419.34$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0713748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Hugo Dellien57c400.68$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.214355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Hugo Dellien25c400.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1896035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Hugo Dellien25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Hugo Dellien26c377.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8220643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Hugo Dellien38c375.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6430530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Hugo Dellien41c360$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cd…841dbacked Hugo Dellien49c349.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4210122.8%23 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Facundo Acosta59c336.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9714772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Facundo Acosta48c313.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.321,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Facundo Acosta44c300.53$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3941658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Hugo Dellien63c299.01$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.989450%47 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Facundo Acosta10c271$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2318020.6%37 W · 143 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Hugo Dellien37c269.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.071,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c19…bfaebacked Facundo Acosta63c261.8$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…8ba4backed Facundo Acosta56c250.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.982142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hugo Dellien40c250.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.741,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Hugo Dellien38c240.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.631,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Facundo Acosta64c239.79$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.864,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Facundo Acosta61c214.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019253.1%102 W · 90 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Facundo Acosta57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b8…cbb6backed Facundo Acosta64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Facundo Acosta57c191.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Facundo Acosta64c185.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4440744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Facundo Acosta11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Facundo Acosta56c179.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Facundo Acosta56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Facundo Acosta56c178.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hugo Dellien55c163.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.641,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Facundo Acosta65c160.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5456757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Facundo Acosta66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad64…9e67backed Hugo Dellien54c148.81$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+70.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Facundo Acosta33c147.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7527147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Hugo Dellien41c144.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.294837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Facundo Acosta35c143.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012739.4%50 W · 77 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Facundo Acosta50c141.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.591,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Hugo Dellien63c139.76$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7672542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Facundo Acosta9c138.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Hugo Dellien32c134.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.992,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Hugo Dellien51c131.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.511833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Hugo Dellien47c130.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1648650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Hugo Dellien46c127.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6516447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…438cbacked Hugo Dellien44c116.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.652657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+37.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Hugo Dellien34c108.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1717447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hugo Dellien24c107.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.213,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Hugo Dellien36c105$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.24156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Facundo Acosta25c104.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.183,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Facundo Acosta53c104.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6295846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Hugo Dellien49c102.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.771,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Hugo Dellien36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6442353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Hugo Dellien39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Facundo Acosta63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6346556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Facundo Acosta38c98.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.757,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Hugo Dellien39c96.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.652,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed Facundo Acosta52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012853.9%69 W · 59 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Hugo Dellien42c95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.123248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hugo Dellien38c93.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.16,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Hugo Dellien36c82.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6555660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Hugo Dellien37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.429947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Facundo Acosta55c76.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Facundo Acosta35c76.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0315514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hugo Dellien43c76.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.771,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Hugo Dellien46c71.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7353752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Hugo Dellien42c71.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6841668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Facundo Acosta59c70.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.024443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Facundo Acosta64c68.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.646649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Facundo Acosta56c67.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.412,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb5…1742backed Facundo Acosta62c67.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Facundo Acosta32c66.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33a…cc64backed Hugo Dellien45c66.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2411565.2%75 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Hugo Dellien57c66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5826941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Facundo Acosta63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hugo Dellien53c62.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.523,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Hugo Dellien33c60.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5159440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Facundo Acosta76c59.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455064%32 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1d9…3be3backed Hugo Dellien42c59.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2216459.8%98 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Facundo Acosta60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e57…ddc3backed Facundo Acosta40c52.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.841118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Hugo Dellien34c51.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0811…db7ebacked Facundo Acosta61c50.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe565…6a38backed Facundo Acosta62c50.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.