TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc33a…cc64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT11565.2%75 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Madrid Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Madrid Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Shymkent: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
Oeiras 3: Darja Semenistaja vs Tessa Brockmannbacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNallybacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Oeiras 3: Greet Minnen vs Petra Marcinkobacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$9.92
Wuning 2: Leo Vithoontien vs Yaojie Zengbacked Leo Vithoontien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.67
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$51.57
Madrid: Lina Gjorcheska vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefan Kozlovbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+32%+$4.73
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$27.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$25.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$63.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$36.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$34.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.