Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 3: Darja Semenistaja vs Tessa Brockmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1237baf396703e80e85f3acd1863920d8618a036d07db4f31b1266cca22912d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darja Semenistajaof Darja Semenistaja, Tessa Brockmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Tessa Brockmann | 18c | 14,889$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.04 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tessa Brockmann | 14c | 10,721$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tessa Brockmann | 11c | 1,518$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tessa Brockmann | 12c | 1,493$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tessa Brockmann | 14c | 1,326$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tessa Brockmann | 10c | 1,325$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Tessa Brockmann | 3c | 1,112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Tessa Brockmann | 18c | 1,071$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…a754backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 942.53$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Tessa Brockmann | 11c | 895.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Tessa Brockmann | 18c | 549.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Tessa Brockmann | 9c | 541.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Tessa Brockmann | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 429.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tessa Brockmann | 22c | 374.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…f660backed Tessa Brockmann | 13c | 369.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Tessa Brockmann | 11c | 336.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tessa Brockmann | 22c | 299.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Tessa Brockmann | 20c | 285.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 272$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Tessa Brockmann | 16c | 255.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tessa Brockmann | 8c | 254.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Tessa Brockmann | 8c | 254.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tessa Brockmann | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…d2f5backed Tessa Brockmann | 6c | 235.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Tessa Brockmann | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Darja Semenistaja | 79c | 197.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Tessa Brockmann | 21c | 191.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Tessa Brockmann | 10c | 168.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tessa Brockmann | 10c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tessa Brockmann | 18c | 159.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 154.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Tessa Brockmann | 13c | 147.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tessa Brockmann | 14c | 141.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Tessa Brockmann | 10c | 140.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 139.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Tessa Brockmann | 20c | 136.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 126.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Tessa Brockmann | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…925bbacked Tessa Brockmann | 13c | 103.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Tessa Brockmann | 18c | 99.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Tessa Brockmann | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…492fbacked Tessa Brockmann | 13c | 82.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Tessa Brockmann | 16c | 72.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked Tessa Brockmann | 15c | 72.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Tessa Brockmann | 19c | 70.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 60.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tessa Brockmann | 23c | 58.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Tessa Brockmann | 23c | 55.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tessa Brockmann | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 45.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 79c | 43.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 39.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 32.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc64backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Darja Semenistaja | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darja Semenistaja | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Darja Semenistaja | 76c | 13.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…21a9backed Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 3: Darja Semenistaja vs Tessa Brockmannthis page
- Darja Semenistaja vs. Tessa Brockmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.