NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x404ea0647dc4bab8a51a5eb14b4d64540466b8840e70d606567e6587c9478ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $957,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,955 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 54c | 493,297$266,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,380.26 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 46c | 320,217$147,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,917.19 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Jazz | 54c | 114,852$62,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,019.98 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Jazz | 55c | 91,028$50,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,065.24 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 45c | 65,194$29,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,694.54 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 46c | 60,340$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,340.03 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 46c | 52,466$24,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,331.74 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 46c | 47,616$21,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,712.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 54c | 35,281$19,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,027.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 46c | 29,432$13,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,881.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 46c | 29,209$13,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,667.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 45c | 21,547$9,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,850.85 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Jazz | 55c | 20,546$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,300.34 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.94 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Raptors | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,388.4 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 55c | 10,382$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.83 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz | 52c | 9,157$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.78 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…b4a7backed Jazz | 53c | 8,908$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Raptors | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.81 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Raptors | 47c | 6,483$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.05 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 46c | 4,743$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.94 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 46c | 3,908$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.21 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Jazz | 55c | 3,788$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.41 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Raptors | 46c | 3,391$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.3 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Raptors | 46c | 2,964$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.24 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…611cbacked Raptors | 47c | 2,823$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Raptors | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Raptors | 47c | 2,566$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.32 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Raptors | 46c | 2,554$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.35 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Raptors | 46c | 2,507$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.16 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.94 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 46c | 1,953$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Raptors | 46c | 1,768$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.63 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Raptors | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Raptors | 46c | 1,290$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.6 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Raptors | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz | 16c | 1,108$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Raptors | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Jazz | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 54c | 974.04$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 47c | 973.28$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Raptors | 46c | 959.41$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.08 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz | 54c | 936.34$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.42 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Jazz | 55c | 914.96$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.23 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Jazz | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 46c | 846.52$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.12 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Raptors | 47c | 829.79$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.79 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Raptors | 43c | 806.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.87 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Jazz | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 52c | 678.67$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jazz | 52c | 658.6$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.18 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Jazz | 55c | 637.5$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Raptors | 72c | 625.19$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 53c | 605.39$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Raptors | 47c | 598.6$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.83 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors | 47c | 573.29$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.58 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 47c | 573.14$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Raptors | 46c | 568.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.26 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…e665backed Jazz | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Raptors | 52c | 542.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.08 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Jazz | 55c | 532.84$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.79 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Raptors | 61c | 492.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Raptors | 47c | 443.7$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Jazz | 54c | 430$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…0a81backed Jazz | 55c | 425.45$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Raptors | 46c | 425$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 47c | 417.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.07 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Jazz | 53c | 405.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Raptors | 46c | 395.92$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Jazz | 21c | 390.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 62c | 381.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Raptors | 46c | 380.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Raptors | 47c | 365$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Raptors | 47c | 336$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Raptors | 48c | 321.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…fe9cbacked Raptors | 48c | 317.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Raptors | 48c | 313.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Raptors | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Jazz | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 53c | 295.62$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Raptors | 45c | 270.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Raptors | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Jazz | 54c | 264$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz | 45c | 246$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Jazz | 54c | 232$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Jazz | 44c | 231.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 46c | 228$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Raptors | 47c | 224.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 50c | 223$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Raptors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Raptors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Raptors | 47c | 212.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Raptors | 47c | 210.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Jazz | 57c | 210.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Raptors | 48c | 206.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Raptors | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Cody Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. JazzRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.