NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71375299d485e398a9897373c627420053171897a8826f8b59cd4df0a561d355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,539 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 21,556$10,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.2 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 11,540$6,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.39 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Over | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 49c | 7,416$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.78 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 6,811$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.79 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 6,736$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.94 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…03b6backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Under | 50c | 5,975$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,409$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 4,196$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.85 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 52c | 3,947$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.44 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 53c | 3,257$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.01 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…1b85backed Over | 51c | 3,054$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…127abacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…7f03backed Over | 51c | 2,999$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93d…6873backed Under | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…8a64backed Over | 50c | 2,996$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…8b01backed Under | 49c | 2,996$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…e749backed Over | 50c | 2,995$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…bd83backed Over | 51c | 2,988$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…f14bbacked Under | 50c | 2,980$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9756…a79cbacked Under | 49c | 2,979$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…f301backed Under | 49c | 2,968$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…d5f6backed Over | 51c | 2,949$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…e4c1backed Over | 50c | 2,926$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…cf45backed Under | 49c | 2,925$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…28fbbacked Under | 50c | 2,918$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…29f6backed Over | 51c | 2,910$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…5e04backed Over | 51c | 2,876$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3787…6b46backed Under | 49c | 2,862$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1830…c505backed Over | 50c | 2,861$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb2…0492backed Under | 50c | 2,825$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…312abacked Over | 50c | 2,816$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdac…5e3bbacked Under | 50c | 2,808$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…1f08backed Over | 51c | 2,785$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…c89fbacked Over | 51c | 2,762$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…3a0dbacked Under | 50c | 2,754$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…1666backed Over | 51c | 2,750$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…ff87backed Over | 51c | 2,746$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…f133backed Under | 49c | 2,745$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…3ca1backed Under | 49c | 2,735$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…c0f5backed Under | 49c | 2,725$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…aee2backed Under | 49c | 2,715$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…470dbacked Under | 49c | 2,703$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325b…bf34backed Under | 49c | 2,693$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…330bbacked Over | 50c | 2,674$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10e…f40cbacked Over | 50c | 2,662$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…626dbacked Over | 51c | 2,650$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…dc96backed Under | 50c | 2,612$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…8366backed Over | 50c | 2,590$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…698cbacked Over | 50c | 2,580$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…4041backed Over | 51c | 2,577$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e54…d772backed Over | 50c | 2,575$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7527…8d1dbacked Under | 50c | 2,560$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…3eddbacked Under | 50c | 2,555$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…d066backed Under | 50c | 2,540$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…b339backed Under | 50c | 2,513$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 2,509$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…bd1cbacked Over | 50c | 2,370$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 2,338$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 53c | 2,267$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.95 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 1,830$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 11c | 1,806$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 78c | 1,247$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 50c | 1,118$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.97 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 51c | 1,019$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.13 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,004$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 38c | 987.22$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.64 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 962.73$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…14cdbacked Over | 49c | 901.32$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.32 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 883.21$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 47c | 807.89$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.89 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 791$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 48c | 758.97$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.67 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Over | 46c | 676$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 49c | 673.88$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 648$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 601.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…8605backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 600$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 50c | 454.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 411$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 406.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…15d4backed Under | 49c | 391.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 359.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 352.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Cody Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. JazzRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.