NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e4746732e5a1ba30c9ae43df663de77cc90fd4dc7ed7165e29bf609893cc01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $760,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,368 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz | 60c | 168,795$101,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,205.42 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 40c | 99,202$39,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,532.64 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Jazz | 50c | 91,500$45,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,750 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Jazz | 51c | 43,113$21,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,987.39 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 40c | 40,639$16,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,383.21 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…6b7ebacked Raptors | 50c | 27,705$13,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,852.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Jazz | 56c | 24,216$13,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,464.92 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 56c | 23,733$13,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,368.69 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 46c | 20,942$9,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,283.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…2defbacked Raptors | 50c | 17,379$8,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,689.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83e…2be4backed Raptors | 50c | 15,422$7,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,711 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…91a2backed Raptors | 50c | 14,830$7,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…ef68backed Raptors | 50c | 14,225$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…40c9backed Raptors | 50c | 13,664$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 46c | 12,817$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7e…d973backed Raptors | 50c | 12,135$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…ca21backed Jazz | 50c | 11,355$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2238…b57abacked Jazz | 50c | 9,888$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Jazz | 50c | 9,670$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.89 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…ca3ebacked Jazz | 50c | 9,358$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…0414backed Raptors | 50c | 9,243$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…24e0backed Raptors | 50c | 9,069$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…c697backed Raptors | 50c | 9,062$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…96fbbacked Raptors | 50c | 9,042$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…d5f7backed Jazz | 50c | 9,021$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8667…b622backed Raptors | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabe…b610backed Raptors | 50c | 8,992$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…e8debacked Jazz | 50c | 8,826$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5688…6680backed Raptors | 50c | 8,704$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…1c2abacked Raptors | 50c | 8,674$4,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…983abacked Raptors | 50c | 8,587$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…9342backed Jazz | 0c | 8,204$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Raptors | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3e…8ccebacked Jazz | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…5f41backed Raptors | 50c | 8,136$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…1cc4backed Jazz | 50c | 8,117$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…1057backed Jazz | 50c | 8,079$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…af53backed Raptors | 50c | 8,004$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Raptors | 49c | 7,959$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.18 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…caddbacked Raptors | 50c | 7,889$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…a465backed Raptors | 50c | 7,867$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…8dd3backed Jazz | 50c | 7,814$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…04f4backed Jazz | 50c | 7,770$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…4aa7backed Jazz | 50c | 7,707$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…4495backed Jazz | 50c | 7,577$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…6ac1backed Raptors | 50c | 7,573$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…526abacked Raptors | 50c | 7,559$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…7274backed Jazz | 50c | 7,448$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…2166backed Jazz | 50c | 7,365$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 50c | 7,234$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…9505backed Jazz | 50c | 7,182$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…4371backed Jazz | 50c | 7,178$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…0a39backed Jazz | 50c | 7,141$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…9322backed Raptors | 50c | 6,935$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…3870backed Raptors | 50c | 6,708$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Raptors | 50c | 6,689$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.49 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…bf8ebacked Jazz | 50c | 6,275$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773d…d709backed Jazz | 50c | 6,261$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…7878backed Jazz | 50c | 6,252$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…54a1backed Jazz | 50c | 5,882$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…dc4abacked Raptors | 50c | 5,844$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…144fbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,833$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…ad0bbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,648$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…042cbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,592$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +71%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…5bdbbacked Jazz | 50c | 5,546$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…6297backed Jazz | 50c | 5,493$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6246…166bbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,445$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…6e31backed Raptors | 50c | 5,441$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…8f55backed Jazz | 50c | 5,346$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…0ea2backed Jazz | 50c | 5,334$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…9d87backed Raptors | 50c | 5,261$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…e64cbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,037$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…2b5cbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,025$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Raptors | 41c | 4,986$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.3 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…b5abbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,978$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a3…dc96backed Jazz | 50c | 4,948$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…8762backed Jazz | 50c | 4,677$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…58eebacked Raptors | 50c | 4,653$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…9dccbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…2adcbacked Raptors | 50c | 4,574$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…640fbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,550$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…794cbacked Raptors | 50c | 4,546$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jazz | 46c | 4,527$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…1d57backed Raptors | 50c | 4,399$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…bf6fbacked Jazz | 50c | 4,328$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…a79ebacked Jazz | 50c | 4,305$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9e2fbacked Raptors | 50c | 4,276$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34a…8da9backed Jazz | 50c | 4,233$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…4ed7backed Jazz | 50c | 4,224$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Raptors | 48c | 4,219$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.49 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…24f6backed Jazz | 50c | 4,026$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…090dbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,953$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…200abacked Raptors | 50c | 3,768$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 38c | 3,750$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.09 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 50c | 3,608$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 48c | 3,535$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 50c | 3,498$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…66e1backed Jazz | 50c | 3,498$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Cody Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. JazzRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.