TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,753 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No22c38,610$8,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,494.161330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c16,414$12,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,348.015,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c10,496$8,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.451,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes75c4,937$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.148457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c4,821$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.26414.9%2 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No25c4,477$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes78c3,760$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.21,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No23c3,512$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.54137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No25c2,635$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.451,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes77c2,481$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes65c2,284$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.931,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes56c2,200$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.614250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c2,000$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.4662652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes72c1,529$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.411861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes77c1,465$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed No23c1,350$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.185962.7%37 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes78c952$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5112449.2%61 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No27c812.56$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.779435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes77c703.79$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4362349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes79c505.22$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.312050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes70c380.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.753135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes76c368$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.322853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c331.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4149044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes78c320$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.48046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x422d…98b7backed Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.31618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes55c275$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No23c260.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d6…d1e3backed Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No23c252$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7910846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes52c200.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.83256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6016250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes50c181.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes32c174.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.991822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes59c160.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5412551.2%64 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes65c152.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0917753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd24…cb46backed Yes78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No26c149.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8429917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed No16c146.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+98%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes74c145$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.453666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes72c138.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e2…309ebacked Yes78c137$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.691540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf27…67ebbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.148100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3886…92fbbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.219055.6%50 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes48c116.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6713855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9797…1289backed Yes78c116.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No67c116.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9516858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Yes79c100.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes43c97.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4211931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No22c91.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No17c90.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.442425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb6e…d903backed Yes77c82.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x383e…d998backed Yes78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2914447.9%69 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No21c66.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8289955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No21c64.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.562218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+42.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.834632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2919048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes60c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.57753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.75100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f90…217cbacked Yes78c57.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61a…fc78backed Yes76c56.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No21c55.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.922,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes78c46.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1739549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No23c46.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd782…6ebbbacked Yes59c42.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked No51c40.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes76c40.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.795664.3%36 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes78c40.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed Yes77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddcd…725fbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.474052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Yes42c39.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.564077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4a0c…3843backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes77c35.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2822555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No41c35.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.775945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Yes79c34.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.35100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No36c33.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.074330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Yes77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.