Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8254ea63748ecf835a2bc60d361a7283a6b3f323ba4f5b568802a99453c4cf58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,008 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 835.5$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 636.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.85 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 516.93$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes | 62c | 482.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 80c | 376.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 64c | 269.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 266.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d9…1e32backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 68c | 200.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 47c | 161.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 76c | 151.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 119.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +98%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 55.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 31c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…3681backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 54c | 37.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…d7d7backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 25.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.