NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff7f2389027620481928c53583f9eb2a32d9f597a284b1fb613eb702bda0c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Bulls | 13c | 7,738$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Cavaliers | 76c | 6,774$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.7 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Bulls | 24c | 4,572$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bulls | 6c | 4,374$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.53 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Cavaliers | 76c | 3,961$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.61 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls | 24c | 3,874$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.92 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…9594backed Bulls | 25c | 2,991$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Bulls | 26c | 2,885$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bulls | 28c | 2,338$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.19 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bulls | 25c | 2,177$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…da94backed Cavaliers | 75c | 2,176$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 8c | 2,095$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.23 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,007$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.74 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Bulls | 26c | 1,051$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked Bulls | 24c | 999.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls | 20c | 964.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 23c | 879.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Cavaliers | 76c | 866.36$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.93 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Cavaliers | 75c | 816$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 790.34$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Bulls | 26c | 782.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Bulls | 21c | 728.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Cavaliers | 76c | 642.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 591.24$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Cavaliers | 75c | 527$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Cavaliers | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Bulls | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Bulls | 24c | 476.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bulls | 30c | 475.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…836abacked Cavaliers | 76c | 468.34$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Cavaliers | 76c | 421.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Cavaliers | 66c | 416.95$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.52 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Cavaliers | 78c | 400$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Bulls | 26c | 395.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…cee2backed Cavaliers | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Bulls | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 350.66$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…20bbbacked Bulls | 5c | 338.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Bulls | 24c | 317$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Bulls | 17c | 285.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…3f60backed Cavaliers | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Bulls | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 76c | 256.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Cavaliers | 59c | 255.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Bulls | 22c | 248.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Cavaliers | 60c | 216.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Bulls | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Cavaliers | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Bulls | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…ff8abacked Cavaliers | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…7036backed Bulls | 25c | 197.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Bulls | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Bulls | 26c | 186.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…6f4fbacked Bulls | 23c | 174.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Cavaliers | 76c | 167.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Cavaliers | 60c | 166.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Cavaliers | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Bulls | 25c | 154.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Cavaliers | 62c | 150.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bulls | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Cavaliers | 76c | 140.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…980abacked Bulls | 17c | 140.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Cavaliers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…ae8bbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Cavaliers | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…4fd1backed Bulls | 47c | 130.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cavaliers | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dd…c0ebbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 115.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Bulls | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…318fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 110.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Bulls | 26c | 107$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…bd72backed Bulls | 53c | 106.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Cavaliers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Cavaliers | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…d3f2backed Cavaliers | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Bulls | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Bulls | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Bulls | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6708…90a3backed Bulls | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Cavaliers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Bulls | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…9a66backed Bulls | 31c | 97.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Cavaliers | 68c | 90.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Bulls | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…24d4backed Cavaliers | 76c | 89.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bulls | 14c | 86.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…b023backed Bulls | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1eb…76febacked Cavaliers | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…ee14backed Cavaliers | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…9088backed Cavaliers | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Cavaliers | 78c | 80.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…533fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 80.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…8659backed Bulls | 25c | 80.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.