TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$878,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$703,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes63c92,726$58,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,268.083658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes3c58,790$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.0112630.2%38 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No20c48,088$9,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,257.83435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+57.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes79c43,204$34,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,084.961040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed No15c42,744$6,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,390.471136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+320.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes14c35,697$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.58739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ba…c0eebacked Yes79c26,392$20,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,922.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes2c25,234$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.896028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes74c18,022$13,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,353.271050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed No17c17,820$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,729.883033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed No10c17,757$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,976.384744.7%21 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+52.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfffa…864bbacked No42c15,062$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,681.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Yes2c14,429$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.912817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No32c13,875$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,498.984542.2%19 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed No32c13,538$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,227.056145.9%28 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked No12c13,372$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,703.6819436.1%70 W · 124 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d22…f0cfbacked Yes80c10,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed No58c9,699$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,116.897740.3%31 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542a…a81bbacked Yes1c9,329$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.521007%7 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2f…a8efbacked No8c7,732$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,109.45928.8%17 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+80.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes59c7,568$4,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,458.772437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes62c7,100$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414.211428.1%32 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No21c6,527$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.666663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+38.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5903…23ffbacked Yes78c6,421$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No21c5,876$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.556618.2%12 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes78c5,315$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.664535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No18c4,934$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,040.05931.1%1 W · 92 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-94.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf118…1f58backed No18c4,638$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc899…3cb9backed Yes74c4,051$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2615…c16dbacked No7c3,830$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Yes67c3,703$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes3c3,595$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.883930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No16c3,246$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.2199629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No22c3,218$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.53560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+111.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes73c3,139$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.761250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes7c3,099$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.851921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid+48%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…9222backed Yes75c3,040$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae78…701cbacked Yes80c3,000$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba8…13ecbacked Yes70c2,937$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd672…a71cbacked No21c2,907$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+384.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes78c2,588$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+224.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x142f…ddeabacked Yes67c2,522$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes67c2,500$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes79c2,414$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.6310145.5%46 W · 55 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Yes2c2,361$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.487723.4%18 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed No20c2,151$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.8911538.3%44 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe529…8a7cbacked Yes73c2,086$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb277…4c15backed No43c2,001$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes71c2,000$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes51c1,957$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016535.8%59 W · 106 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+86.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Yes64c1,840$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.692536%9 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2eda…f03cbacked Yes15c1,807$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+156.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Yes54c1,775$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…18a1backed No37c1,718$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes76c1,700$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.142326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x285d…c8e9backed Yes1c1,692$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96a…396abacked Yes50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80011347.8%54 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes79c1,522$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.135451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes70c1,392$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9417544.6%78 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e0…5bc6backed Yes62c1,362$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Yes63c1,360$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes61c1,164$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.587133.8%24 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b36…0800backed No11c1,150$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.89650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+180.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No7c1,092$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.132154.2%9 W · 206 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76db…37b0backed Yes75c1,073$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes2c1,072$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0218516.2%30 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe709…9d39backed No26c1,070$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.93141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes78c1,069$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.683240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No19c1,068$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.916725.1%42 W · 125 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No13c1,062$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.8696319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…95fcbacked Yes5c1,004$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…d8a4backed No10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+207.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08cd…9db9backed Yes63c984.56$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…5553backed Yes72c973.2$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes78c966.6$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.082065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6339…fcbcbacked Yes76c930$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x254f…64fbbacked Yes78c902.98$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf5…1138backed Yes80c850.48$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed No5c810$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.64040%16 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+82.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e49…7f9cbacked Yes79c799.04$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No10c792.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.156010%6 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No12c776.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.4114624.7%36 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…2433backed Yes75c750$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…1115backed Yes21c740$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.921822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-56%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x136f…56f2backed Yes37c729.74$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed No13c720.01$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.318322.4%41 W · 142 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes3c699.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.442564%16 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes73c689.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed No15c638.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.4737740.6%153 W · 224 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…20c5backed Yes69c634.46$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.766750.7%34 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bd…2992backed Yes74c564.44$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed Yes77c555.56$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.789958.6%58 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes75c550$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.284736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1085…2d69backed No21c522$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.385644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…6269backed No6c520$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bff…2d53backed No7c503.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,337.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8793…9b39backed Yes80c498$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf11…3cfebacked Yes68c491.36$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes75c471.36$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.622045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.