Us Politics · resolved market
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c22daa78afa38f19e23ca808052938cfa9388db1b628145587a80c47e6c733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,441,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,604,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,441,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 18c | 187,874$34,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,718.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 78c | 86,385$67,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,743.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 15c | 58,305$8,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,994.65 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 5c | 52,046$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,240.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +320.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 34c | 49,084$16,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,402.72 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 1c | 34,701$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 14c | 27,615$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,716.42 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 9c | 22,967$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,787.33 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 11c | 20,124$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,916.6 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 64c | 17,993$11,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,543.68 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 10c | 14,674$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,237.62 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 17c | 13,499$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,139.16 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked Yes | 13c | 11,134$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,634.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +642.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 70c | 11,109$7,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,730.01 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 58c | 10,318$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.98 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 10,222$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.37 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 36c | 10,162$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,506.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…1477backed Yes | 17c | 10,161$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +497.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 5c | 9,916$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,420.32 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 38c | 8,084$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.54 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,818$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780.94 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 43c | 6,729$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 2c | 6,551$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 72c | 6,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 68c | 5,995$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.96 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 21c | 5,678$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.91 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 25c | 5,113$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 9c | 5,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 55c | 4,551$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.11 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…1f58backed Yes | 18c | 4,397$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,911$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 3,802$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…08e4backed No | 80c | 3,759$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 3c | 3,329$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 22c | 3,311$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.77 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 8c | 3,192$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.63 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…0800backed Yes | 18c | 2,915$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 67c | 2,888$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.19 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 75c | 2,882$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 22c | 2,324$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 50c | 2,215$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.28 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 2c | 2,051$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes | 28c | 1,972$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…70febacked Yes | 8c | 1,947$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +164%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b2…9d97backed Yes | 22c | 1,923$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 55c | 1,825$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…475dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,819$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,644$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.51 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 17c | 1,402$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.8 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…13ecbacked Yes | 31c | 1,300$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…bd5cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +1,036.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 74c | 1,100$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…4326backed Yes | 23c | 1,100$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…903cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.82 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…3256backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 47c | 999.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 13c | 924.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.27 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 843$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.83 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed No | 59c | 806.89$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 16c | 771$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.61 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 66c | 734.83$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 35c | 712.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…ed8fbacked Yes | 15c | 678.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 673.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.93 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 64c | 653.45$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.38 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…1675backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 16c | 615.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.6 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…5d66backed Yes | 6c | 601.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d92…2f39backed Yes | 28c | 600.17$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked No | 72c | 578.92$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 16c | 541.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.31 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 14c | 533.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…7e95backed Yes | 7c | 509.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +697.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.04 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 11c | 500$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 11c | 463.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.45 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…01f8backed Yes | 7c | 440$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…923fbacked No | 72c | 422.2$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 11c | 410.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.89 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…99eebacked Yes | 12c | 405.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 16c | 372.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.81 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 14c | 354$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.65 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 319.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.13 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…85acbacked Yes | 7c | 291.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +264.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed No | 75c | 290$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 9c | 252$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…1805backed No | 79c | 247.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…7c7abacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +634.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…a516backed Yes | 22c | 226.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +282.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?this page
- Adrienne Adams gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Brad Lander gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Jessica Ramos gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Whitney Tilson gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.