Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d9d85e6184023c656c4e07893ef8fd4f3ad3d22c5f1004e071535a2bbe57521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof LIU Sharks, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 40c | 2,029$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wagner Seahawks | 31c | 1,399$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LIU Sharks | 67c | 924.46$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed LIU Sharks | 66c | 513$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed LIU Sharks | 62c | 382.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked LIU Sharks | 58c | 302.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Wagner Seahawks | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 262$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks | 27c | 200.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LIU Sharks | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked LIU Sharks | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LIU Sharks | 63c | 186.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wagner Seahawks | 27c | 174.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wagner Seahawks | 43c | 153.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wagner Seahawks | 31c | 113$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wagner Seahawks | 43c | 94.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Wagner Seahawks | 27c | 84.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…aca6backed LIU Sharks | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Wagner Seahawks | 25c | 82.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed LIU Sharks | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wagner Seahawks | 27c | 71.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wagner Seahawks | 43c | 67.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Wagner Seahawks | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…d790backed LIU Sharks | 60c | 55.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed LIU Sharks | 61c | 46.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…0886backed LIU Sharks | 56c | 35.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LIU Sharks | 68c | 34.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks | 41c | 24.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…d18fbacked LIU Sharks | 72c | 16.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked LIU Sharks | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked LIU Sharks | 72c | 14.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawksthis page
- LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 137.5Under won
- LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 138.5Under won
- LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 139.5Under won
- LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.