Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Chicago State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4f38e92297060a6aa892b80d388f7e2f0b52e9eb28bc8cb5124dd78f5f6a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago State Cougarsof Mercyhurst Lakers, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chicago State Cougars | 38c | 10,847$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.25 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 60c | 5,143$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.75 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 62c | 4,202$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Chicago State Cougars | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 59c | 973$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.32 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 732.43$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 47c | 622.03$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 28c | 601.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.74 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 62c | 550$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 28c | 526.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Chicago State Cougars | 41c | 511.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 509.83$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.41 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Chicago State Cougars | 63c | 459.72$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.23 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 62c | 314.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 4c | 281.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 254.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 225$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Chicago State Cougars | 35c | 204.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 57c | 195.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 163.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Chicago State Cougars | 41c | 149.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 58c | 141$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 40c | 139.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 52c | 139.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 32c | 124.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 65c | 123.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 21c | 123$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 15c | 100.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago State Cougars | 75c | 85.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 63c | 82.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Chicago State Cougars | 65c | 81.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Chicago State Cougars | 37c | 74.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 62c | 70.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 46c | 62.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Chicago State Cougars | 39c | 60.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chicago State Cougars | 32c | 58.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago State Cougars | 40c | 53.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Chicago State Cougars | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 50c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Chicago State Cougars | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 28.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 55c | 26.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Chicago State Cougars | 39c | 25.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 24.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 71c | 20.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 17.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Chicago State Cougarsthis page
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 127.5Over won
- Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 128.5Over won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-3.5)Chicago State Cougars won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-4.5)Chicago State Cougars won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-5.5)Chicago State Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.