TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Austin Peay Governors vs. Queens (NC) Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Austin Peay Governorsof Austin Peay Governors, Queens (NC) Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Austin Peay Governors43c11,382$4,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,434.7689645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Queens (NC) Royals56c5,669$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.945,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Queens (NC) Royals57c3,008$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Queens (NC) Royals57c2,350$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.532751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Queens (NC) Royals49c1,470$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.623,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Queens (NC) Royals56c1,162$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.6514647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Austin Peay Governors45c1,121$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.9413561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Austin Peay Governors53c1,106$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.8722050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Queens (NC) Royals57c810$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.72,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Queens (NC) Royals45c786.91$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.021,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Austin Peay Governors54c700$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.311,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Queens (NC) Royals57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Queens (NC) Royals59c612.29$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Austin Peay Governors48c547.54$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.82,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x244f…6ffbbacked Austin Peay Governors43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Austin Peay Governors57c476$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.91,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Austin Peay Governors46c472$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.281,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Queens (NC) Royals52c344.33$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Austin Peay Governors44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.915154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Austin Peay Governors43c323.73$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.531,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ec…17d7backed Queens (NC) Royals49c294.16$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Austin Peay Governors57c279.01$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Austin Peay Governors49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Austin Peay Governors47c199.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Austin Peay Governors44c192.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.885844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Queens (NC) Royals35c173.11$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.623,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Austin Peay Governors44c162.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Austin Peay Governors65c154.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5240252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Austin Peay Governors50c151.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.171,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Queens (NC) Royals40c139.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Queens (NC) Royals15c121.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.314,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Queens (NC) Royals54c120.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Queens (NC) Royals36c113.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.432,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Austin Peay Governors47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5321449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Queens (NC) Royals53c96.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Queens (NC) Royals36c72.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.961,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Queens (NC) Royals33c69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Queens (NC) Royals56c68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.131,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Queens (NC) Royals39c60.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Queens (NC) Royals57c58.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Queens (NC) Royals52c56.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Austin Peay Governors45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.569338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Austin Peay Governors42c55.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Queens (NC) Royals36c54.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Austin Peay Governors67c43.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Austin Peay Governors64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0615240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Austin Peay Governors48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Queens (NC) Royals66c34.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Austin Peay Governors41c32.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.212,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Austin Peay Governors42c32.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.722730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Queens (NC) Royals57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.164658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Queens (NC) Royals57c29.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.081,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Austin Peay Governors71c23.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.812,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Austin Peay Governors44c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.884626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked Austin Peay Governors57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.054553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed Queens (NC) Royals53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.135530.9%17 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.