TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Providence Friarsof Butler Bulldogs, Providence Friars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd4da…3175backed Providence Friars60c3,382$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Butler Bulldogs41c3,090$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Butler Bulldogs45c2,068$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.965,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Providence Friars14c1,846$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.511,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Providence Friars59c1,813$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.482,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Providence Friars58c1,802$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.831,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Providence Friars60c1,471$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.311,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars54c1,248$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Providence Friars60c1,228$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.161,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Butler Bulldogs2c999.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Butler Bulldogs41c725.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.72,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Butler Bulldogs41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24625043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Providence Friars42c597.65$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.972,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Providence Friars54c561.23$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.473,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Butler Bulldogs68c557$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1939742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Butler Bulldogs42c520$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.437142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Providence Friars29c470.33$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0713651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Butler Bulldogs66c456.94$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.744,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Butler Bulldogs41c455$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.931,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Providence Friars47c433.33$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.071,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Providence Friars29c408.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.432,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Providence Friars24c398.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Providence Friars41c375.28$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.961,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Butler Bulldogs68c357.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24436942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Providence Friars42c355.51$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Butler Bulldogs46c350.03$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5699848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Butler Bulldogs34c343.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Providence Friars54c335.48$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3344146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Butler Bulldogs42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Providence Friars58c305.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4310648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Providence Friars47c303.07$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.113,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Providence Friars36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.615453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Butler Bulldogs41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Butler Bulldogs20c247.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.110126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Butler Bulldogs40c247$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Butler Bulldogs36c246.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8853635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Providence Friars50c213.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.642,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Butler Bulldogs42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8414553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Providence Friars58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Butler Bulldogs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Butler Bulldogs42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8429442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Providence Friars54c182.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.923,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Providence Friars54c170.54$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.691,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Providence Friars47c161.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1338345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf312…eee8backed Providence Friars62c158.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.731735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Providence Friars57c157.4$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Providence Friars57c156.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Butler Bulldogs40c144.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.333826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Providence Friars52c143.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9724649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Butler Bulldogs65c123.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.091,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Providence Friars46c123.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.418167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Butler Bulldogs51c119.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4612435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Butler Bulldogs49c113.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Butler Bulldogs42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.931,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Butler Bulldogs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1797…71d4backed Butler Bulldogs20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Providence Friars50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4032751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Butler Bulldogs40c75.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.585851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Butler Bulldogs44c75.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1612537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Butler Bulldogs66c72.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.839259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Butler Bulldogs36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Providence Friars36c66.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.372,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Butler Bulldogs46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Providence Friars42c60.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Providence Friars50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Butler Bulldogs64c58.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.472,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Providence Friars58c57.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9542339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Butler Bulldogs63c50.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Butler Bulldogs38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad5…7492backed Providence Friars70c46.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Providence Friars43c45.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1119332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Providence Friars52c44.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.661668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Providence Friars51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7519138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Butler Bulldogs37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Butler Bulldogs39c38.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars63c37.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…abb4backed Butler Bulldogs41c36.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Providence Friars56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Butler Bulldogs40c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Butler Bulldogs50c31.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Providence Friars60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked Providence Friars55c29.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.591553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c1…6be5backed Providence Friars54c28.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Butler Bulldogs48c26.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6913550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Providence Friars60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Providence Friars60c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Providence Friars59c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6115066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Providence Friars59c20.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.316140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Providence Friars59c20.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.289945.5%45 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Providence Friars60c19.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.975447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Providence Friars60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked Butler Bulldogs79c16.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.