Us Politics · resolved market
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd3a70bac54c4b2d8125ba9372ea3434690c87c805e32c5d531038c4ab35f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $959,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 23c | 36,270$8,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,370.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked No | 26c | 35,304$9,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,279.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…366bbacked Yes | 41c | 35,000$14,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,538.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 66c | 23,732$15,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,688.63 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 76c | 21,838$16,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.23 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…2727backed Yes | 79c | 19,723$15,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 51c | 18,170$9,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,819.83 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 29c | 17,454$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,331.24 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…657fbacked No | 25c | 15,350$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 18c | 14,714$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.2 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 50c | 13,360$6,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 80c | 10,938$8,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed No | 2c | 10,693$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 15c | 9,126$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.77 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…8b95backed No | 40c | 8,141$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…b3cdbacked No | 21c | 7,443$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…2e19backed No | 73c | 7,373$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.46 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed No | 12c | 7,250$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 65c | 7,234$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.27 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 71c | 6,080$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.66 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 62c | 5,999$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.38 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 68c | 4,683$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.29 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 39c | 4,593$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.54 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed No | 65c | 4,574$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 23c | 4,379$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…08c0backed No | 68c | 4,141$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 51c | 4,141$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.44 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…610bbacked No | 66c | 4,118$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 0c | 4,112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed No | 23c | 4,054$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked No | 54c | 3,874$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed No | 30c | 3,782$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed No | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…95a5backed No | 14c | 3,258$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 44c | 3,103$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.51 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 10c | 3,082$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.21 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 21c | 2,552$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.78 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 66c | 2,502$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 15c | 2,497$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.71 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 35c | 2,315$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed No | 18c | 2,227$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked No | 50c | 2,203$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.18 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 39c | 2,133$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 66c | 2,065$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.03 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 29c | 2,024$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.35 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 78c | 1,939$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6e…1b79backed No | 47c | 1,752$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…ebc5backed No | 66c | 1,669$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 57c | 1,610$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.05 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 48c | 1,608$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 23c | 1,500$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed No | 65c | 1,393$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 37c | 1,355$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 65c | 1,303$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 76c | 1,249$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.12 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 1,221$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.89 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed Yes | 44c | 1,162$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 44c | 1,136$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,122$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…c777backed No | 1c | 1,118$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 43c | 1,114$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.14 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3d9abacked No | 21c | 1,107$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked No | 46c | 1,045$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 49c | 1,039$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.72 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…0040backed No | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 32c | 968.85$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 54c | 929.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed No | 27c | 867.52$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 41c | 867.18$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.02 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 867.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.45 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 43c | 853.24$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 52c | 779$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +300%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 33c | 768$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.38 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…0653backed No | 19c | 755$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…8c8ebacked Yes | 71c | 747.51$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 746.48$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.64 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 42c | 709.76$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.61 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 37c | 688.21$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.67 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed No | 44c | 674.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 60c | 654.18$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 653.29$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 32c | 619.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.82 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 28c | 594.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.14 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed No | 41c | 592.05$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.42 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 42c | 534$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…b1c6backed No | 47c | 519.07$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 51c | 500$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed Yes | 73c | 456.89$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 66c | 456.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed No | 33c | 448.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…4408backed No | 18c | 422$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked No | 4c | 413$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked No | 17c | 410.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…d248backed No | 51c | 400.65$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…e795backed No | 48c | 400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 40c | 383.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?this page
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 10?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 11?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 12 or later?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?No won
- Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.