TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Vermont Catamounts vs. Maine Black Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maine Black Bearsof Vermont Catamounts, Maine Black Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Maine Black Bears39c23,542$9,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,274.985,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Vermont Catamounts78c18,615$14,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,579.051,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Vermont Catamounts51c7,167$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.461,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Maine Black Bears29c6,822$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.878544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Maine Black Bears48c4,686$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.761,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Maine Black Bears47c4,002$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.2399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked Vermont Catamounts35c3,947$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.083426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Vermont Catamounts28c3,885$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0803423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Vermont Catamounts47c3,824$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.6849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Vermont Catamounts60c3,670$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.81,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Vermont Catamounts45c3,244$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.0119641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Vermont Catamounts54c2,946$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.563,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maine Black Bears22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1702,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Maine Black Bears21c1,400$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.991,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vermont Catamounts54c1,344$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.321,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Vermont Catamounts73c1,195$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.782,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3665…155dbacked Maine Black Bears21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd2…b33cbacked Maine Black Bears21c1,151$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick36cpaid+157.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b0…b96bbacked Maine Black Bears21c1,067$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.935100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+158.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vermont Catamounts11c1,032$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.292,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Maine Black Bears22c1,000$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7859856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c9a…4215backed Vermont Catamounts79c934$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked Maine Black Bears26c775.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.453023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3d…13e4backed Vermont Catamounts79c755$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.45475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833f…f564backed Vermont Catamounts79c727$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x178d…dcd6backed Maine Black Bears21c696$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vermont Catamounts13c655.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.841,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Vermont Catamounts26c644$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0425325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Maine Black Bears20c642.43$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.0581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Maine Black Bears26c628$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.84427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Vermont Catamounts46c591.65$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Maine Black Bears23c504.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3642339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Vermont Catamounts41c464.8$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.221,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4643…4166backed Vermont Catamounts79c463$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.77616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Vermont Catamounts78c456$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Maine Black Bears21c410.11$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f9…3de2backed Vermont Catamounts79c396$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Vermont Catamounts78c394$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.326740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f7d…99f8backed Vermont Catamounts79c383$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Vermont Catamounts79c380$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.237142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Maine Black Bears32c355.56$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9413651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Maine Black Bears24c327.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.747247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Maine Black Bears75c319.73$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.542,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa546…fa04backed Vermont Catamounts79c313$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1797…71d4backed Vermont Catamounts10c299.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.991330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Vermont Catamounts48c298.85$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5836942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Maine Black Bears24c273.75$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9118230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Maine Black Bears21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Maine Black Bears74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.357844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vermont Catamounts41c245.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Maine Black Bears22c241.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maine Black Bears50c233.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.894,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Maine Black Bears22c220.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.253554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Maine Black Bears80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Vermont Catamounts27c193.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6338345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Maine Black Bears35c178.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.937247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Vermont Catamounts48c174.23$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.083,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c44…93efbacked Vermont Catamounts38c159.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-79.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bf7…12e5backed Vermont Catamounts79c133$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Maine Black Bears41c129.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.599259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Vermont Catamounts27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Maine Black Bears52c129.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7645953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Maine Black Bears18c129.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.882040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Vermont Catamounts78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maine Black Bears48c121.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.131,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d4a…45b9backed Maine Black Bears42c120.32$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Vermont Catamounts58c111.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.271,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Maine Black Bears72c106.43$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4325544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Maine Black Bears21c100.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1538645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Maine Black Bears23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7721443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Maine Black Bears20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Vermont Catamounts63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maine Black Bears24c97.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.142,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b2…ced6backed Vermont Catamounts64c96.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.872055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Vermont Catamounts42c96.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Maine Black Bears21c94.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0325436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vermont Catamounts59c94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.461,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Vermont Catamounts66c91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.81,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Vermont Catamounts77c74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.818147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Maine Black Bears36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4418167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Maine Black Bears22c69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.829061.1%55 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Maine Black Bears31c68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6227358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Maine Black Bears45c66.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6584…c018backed Vermont Catamounts78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Vermont Catamounts39c62.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3319138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Vermont Catamounts16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Maine Black Bears23c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.226740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Maine Black Bears42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6231666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Maine Black Bears24c59.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.391,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Maine Black Bears35c56.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9423331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Vermont Catamounts23c55.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.876956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Maine Black Bears22c52.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0725946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ef…b013backed Maine Black Bears31c52.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f3…2ce8backed Vermont Catamounts26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Vermont Catamounts44c51.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Maine Black Bears29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6544955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maine Black Bears21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2e…8649backed Maine Black Bears21c47.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Maine Black Bears23c43.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6317241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f1…178abacked Vermont Catamounts30c40.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.