Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. UCF Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb9da6aa3c7a1078c67a33a42dde6ba4caae3c125e9afba020c64fbe07bffe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof West Virginia Mountaineers, UCF Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UCF Knights | 58c | 4,845$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.55 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 65c | 3,567$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 39c | 3,357$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.15 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCF Knights | 6c | 2,959$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 12c | 1,641$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.94 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights | 60c | 1,518$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights | 62c | 1,390$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UCF Knights | 61c | 1,349$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 41c | 865.9$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.66 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed UCF Knights | 31c | 751.34$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCF Knights | 12c | 716.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 43c | 714.6$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 29c | 602.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.6 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 37c | 521.43$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.47 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked UCF Knights | 59c | 499.9$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.94 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 45c | 440.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 39c | 432.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.82 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UCF Knights | 60c | 371$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed UCF Knights | 55c | 363.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 56c | 338.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UCF Knights | 66c | 332.36$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked UCF Knights | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked UCF Knights | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked UCF Knights | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 30c | 209.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed UCF Knights | 69c | 188.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 40c | 185.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UCF Knights | 60c | 171.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UCF Knights | 64c | 155.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UCF Knights | 62c | 151.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked UCF Knights | 67c | 150.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UCF Knights | 22c | 134$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked UCF Knights | 54c | 128.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 39c | 128.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed UCF Knights | 60c | 101$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked UCF Knights | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked UCF Knights | 61c | 98.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 35c | 97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…eaffbacked UCF Knights | 68c | 88.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UCF Knights | 61c | 88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed UCF Knights | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UCF Knights | 62c | 63.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 36c | 61.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 59.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 35c | 44.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UCF Knights | 70c | 43.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 40c | 43.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked UCF Knights | 56c | 43.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCF Knights | 60c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed UCF Knights | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…c0debacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 42c | 31.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 57c | 30.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 36c | 27.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed UCF Knights | 62c | 27.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UCF Knights | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…6515backed UCF Knights | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed UCF Knights | 58c | 23.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked UCF Knights | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed UCF Knights | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…876bbacked UCF Knights | 58c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. UCF Knightsthis page
- Spread: UCF Knights (-3.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. UCF Knights: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.