Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UCF Knights (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08676d074c2b7228497ba70a9f4d4f2366e66d5378fb097b145253a329e3b2c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof UCF Knights, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 3,231$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.91 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCF Knights | 48c | 2,521$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UCF Knights | 50c | 2,306$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.34 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 1,984$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed UCF Knights | 50c | 1,949$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.4 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 51c | 773.2$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCF Knights | 48c | 487.29$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 33c | 412.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.64 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UCF Knights | 62c | 365.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCF Knights | 56c | 248$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed UCF Knights | 48c | 153$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 148.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…4982backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 64c | 77.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked UCF Knights | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed UCF Knights | 50c | 40.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCF Knights | 80c | 36.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 29.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked UCF Knights | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UCF Knights (-3.5)this page
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. UCF KnightsWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. UCF Knights: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.