Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump spend 7+ days golfing in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18671351eee7d9434183f432e165b1d00ec418e504bb6530f86dd93b5f895e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cfb…2ab9backed No | 35c | 29,619$10,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…13e9backed Yes | 65c | 29,619$19,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,366.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 27c | 4,500$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.93 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 71c | 2,692$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.14 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,448$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.6 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…b918backed No | 31c | 2,091$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 70c | 1,912$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.94 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d3f8backed No | 79c | 1,112$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,079$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.9 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 23c | 1,004$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 34c | 991.83$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.64 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 73c | 704.29$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 25c | 701.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…8699backed No | 66c | 619.33$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 27c | 603.03$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9b…7faabacked No | 11c | 599.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 35c | 584.6$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 67c | 559.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 25c | 541.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 33c | 532.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6d2fbacked No | 65c | 509.44$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 22c | 354.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 13c | 335.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 25c | 333.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…618cbacked No | 32c | 324$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…ecf7backed No | 31c | 322.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 57c | 318.49$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 69c | 316.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed No | 67c | 312.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…6094backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb024…a682backed Yes | 69c | 289.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 18c | 284.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…b6c1backed No | 72c | 279.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 17c | 279$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed No | 20c | 277.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…4936backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 79c | 252.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 68c | 250$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 248.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 16c | 247.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…0876backed No | 24c | 235.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 23c | 220.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…2584backed No | 24c | 214.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 65c | 213.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked No | 28c | 209.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 65c | 199$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 67c | 147.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…d8c7backed No | 25c | 135.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 62c | 131.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…eec4backed No | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed No | 68c | 119$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…0ffdbacked Yes | 75c | 111.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 72c | 111.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed No | 33c | 98.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 94.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked No | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…86e9backed Yes | 69c | 87.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…fa21backed No | 35c | 84.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…ae95backed No | 64c | 82.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…ae50backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…339fbacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 34c | 59.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…f652backed Yes | 34c | 58.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 56c | 57.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 26c | 56.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 66c | 48.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 31c | 47.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 27c | 42.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…19d2backed No | 64c | 38.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…cb34backed No | 31c | 37.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3961…992abacked No | 31c | 36.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 52c | 36.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…169ebacked Yes | 39c | 33.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.