TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baylor Bearsof Baylor Bears, West Virginia Mountaineers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x309f…9282backed Baylor Bears65c5,390$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.781662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Baylor Bears74c3,867$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.7746446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Baylor Bears68c3,382$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.763542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked West Virginia Mountaineers26c3,349$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.671,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baylor Bears75c3,337$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.331,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed West Virginia Mountaineers15c1,805$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.322,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked West Virginia Mountaineers17c1,534$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2563426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers59c1,500$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.982,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed West Virginia Mountaineers12c1,446$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.682,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia Mountaineers40c1,316$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.985,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked West Virginia Mountaineers32c1,195$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.521,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers57c1,010$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.737142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears42c990.08$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed West Virginia Mountaineers26c972.81$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.112339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked West Virginia Mountaineers30c936.41$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.375,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears71c895.94$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.33,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed West Virginia Mountaineers11c861.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3521830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed West Virginia Mountaineers11c827.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.932,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed West Virginia Mountaineers57c750$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers30c707.61$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.241,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Baylor Bears56c537.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed West Virginia Mountaineers37c526.92$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.613,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed West Virginia Mountaineers32c504.7$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Baylor Bears43c446.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.61,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e1…cdcdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked West Virginia Mountaineers40c432.76$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.87530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Baylor Bears60c413$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed West Virginia Mountaineers16c394.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.843,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed West Virginia Mountaineers45c357$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.382,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Baylor Bears42c335.83$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Baylor Bears43c325.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5879448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e65…d9f0backed West Virginia Mountaineers35c323.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed West Virginia Mountaineers32c275$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers8c274.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Baylor Bears41c255.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5721347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed West Virginia Mountaineers33c255.21$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.278930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Baylor Bears67c250.88$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed West Virginia Mountaineers22c250.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.542,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…89ccbacked West Virginia Mountaineers44c222.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.77825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed West Virginia Mountaineers17c199.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4212537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed West Virginia Mountaineers38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked West Virginia Mountaineers7c195.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Baylor Bears74c178$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.281,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Baylor Bears61c172.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.691,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed West Virginia Mountaineers32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2e…78b1backed West Virginia Mountaineers55c145$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.751546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears41c141$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed West Virginia Mountaineers29c139.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.223327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers66c112.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.286251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c5d…76b0backed West Virginia Mountaineers29c108$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.641729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed West Virginia Mountaineers22c92.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.672948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed West Virginia Mountaineers44c89.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3353646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Baylor Bears42c89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.628043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Baylor Bears42c86.21$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed West Virginia Mountaineers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers24c80.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Baylor Bears42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4314339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Baylor Bears70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Baylor Bears42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5222656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Baylor Bears73c58.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed West Virginia Mountaineers44c57.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Baylor Bears63c53.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.822953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd107…add5backed West Virginia Mountaineers59c50.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baylor Bears49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Baylor Bears41c49.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.491,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers38c48.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd758…9d8bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers31c45.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Baylor Bears74c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed West Virginia Mountaineers50c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.359144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff2…b6ecbacked West Virginia Mountaineers58c34.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed West Virginia Mountaineers58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.723342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Baylor Bears44c33.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baylor Bears68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed West Virginia Mountaineers57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.164658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Baylor Bears37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.952353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Baylor Bears61c28.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1338345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked Baylor Bears75c24.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.14553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b0…b854backed Baylor Bears58c23.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed West Virginia Mountaineers47c22.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7225239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed West Virginia Mountaineers58c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.762853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Baylor Bears67c20.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.923256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1853…68ffbacked Baylor Bears49c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.412245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Baylor Bears62c20.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed West Virginia Mountaineers63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc032…2ea5backed West Virginia Mountaineers53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed Baylor Bears60c18.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…fc0abacked Baylor Bears77c18.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.