Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1393c528980b074135ae74471dcd7ce6027f1e04dab6b0cf424ea5343d30a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof West Virginia Mountaineers, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 5,808$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears | 49c | 3,233$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 1,899$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.36 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 265.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 37c | 97.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baylor Bears | 61c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 45c | 47.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 46.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-2.5)this page
- Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia MountaineersBaylor Bears won
- Baylor Bears vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.