TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas State Wildcatsof West Virginia Mountaineers, Kansas State Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1dc8…da92backed West Virginia Mountaineers63c9,003$5,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,653.45056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats51c4,136$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.865,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed West Virginia Mountaineers64c2,695$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.6914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kansas State Wildcats36c2,686$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.951,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b9…4df2backed West Virginia Mountaineers1c2,142$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas State Wildcats38c1,849$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.482,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed West Virginia Mountaineers62c1,777$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.2874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kansas State Wildcats53c1,724$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.141,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kansas State Wildcats37c1,663$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.822,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed West Virginia Mountaineers2c1,658$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.962,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked West Virginia Mountaineers56c1,652$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.591,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kansas State Wildcats41c1,100$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State Wildcats36c1,001$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.885,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Kansas State Wildcats46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9921549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed West Virginia Mountaineers60c967.76$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5211747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked West Virginia Mountaineers3c901.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9731837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed West Virginia Mountaineers57c869.61$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.386743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed West Virginia Mountaineers4c854.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.963148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Kansas State Wildcats37c849.78$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.3615850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed West Virginia Mountaineers62c746.39$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.7655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers18c698.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.249345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kansas State Wildcats47c570.35$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.132,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers62c514.23$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.355253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed West Virginia Mountaineers62c478.8$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.532254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas State Wildcats43c432.78$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.443,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed West Virginia Mountaineers58c376.08$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1279448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Kansas State Wildcats42c356.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9326749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed West Virginia Mountaineers59c331.17$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3978052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kansas State Wildcats38c327.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers6c324.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.471,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats45c300.12$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.852,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a7…c0debacked West Virginia Mountaineers33c298.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.694553.3%24 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers5c265.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers8c232.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Kansas State Wildcats41c210.21$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7325837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas State Wildcats46c199.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats37c198.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.971,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats38c192.67$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kansas State Wildcats39c186.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.621,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Kansas State Wildcats37c186.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3762140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Kansas State Wildcats39c186.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers58c180.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c58…beb0backed West Virginia Mountaineers55c180.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kansas State Wildcats50c167.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Kansas State Wildcats40c148.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.243542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas State Wildcats37c132$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.163,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed West Virginia Mountaineers40c104.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.953,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas State Wildcats50c100.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.581,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers13c99.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.114451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Kansas State Wildcats58c99.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6427358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed West Virginia Mountaineers56c99.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5214553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed West Virginia Mountaineers63c98.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.818646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed West Virginia Mountaineers55c96.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.31,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers55c90.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.577045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kansas State Wildcats75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3957655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed West Virginia Mountaineers64c77.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers69c74.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Kansas State Wildcats45c65.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2930649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Kansas State Wildcats41c60.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6713450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Kansas State Wildcats41c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8349157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas State Wildcats44c58.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Kansas State Wildcats44c58.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5320834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers57c52.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.749554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers55c50.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Kansas State Wildcats43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf864…c210backed West Virginia Mountaineers62c44.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kansas State Wildcats32c44.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.011,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Kansas State Wildcats43c37.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Kansas State Wildcats36c36.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.435246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Kansas State Wildcats42c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6715066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked West Virginia Mountaineers63c23.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.879947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Kansas State Wildcats63c23.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.618439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.