Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21acf39a1dfc4ca849cfbdd2ffe0db258cdf3dc23c34b3150da72d884148c37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 40,362$21,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,398.4 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 24,400$12,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,350.29 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 48c | 22,638$10,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,771.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 52c | 19,899$10,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,347.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 49c | 12,221$5,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 10,031$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.21 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 8,246$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.17 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 7,771$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.07 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 51c | 7,176$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.6 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 6,201$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.8 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 51c | 4,520$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 46c | 4,023$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 51c | 2,356$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 8c | 2,068$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 54c | 2,037$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 27c | 1,774$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 1,502$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.11 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 52c | 849.47$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 674.02$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 51c | 608.95$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 31c | 332.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 54c | 270.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 265$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 59c | 252.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes | 55c | 245.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 219.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 49c | 177.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…10a3backed Yes | 57c | 173.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked Yes | 30c | 167.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 34c | 143.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…c8f2backed Yes | 30c | 136.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 47c | 119$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 28c | 118$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fc…abcbbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 60c | 83.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 48c | 81.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 80.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 41c | 76.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…8ab5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 49c | 63.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 53c | 61.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed No | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…1ea1backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Yes | 51c | 46.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 40.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 51c | 37.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 36.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 49c | 34.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 49c | 31.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d1…eaf4backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 55c | 29.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 52c | 27.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed No | 51c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 51c | 27.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…327abacked Yes | 59c | 25.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 71c | 23.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Yes | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 52c | 19.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.