TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.966454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c5,477$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.0631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c4,334$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.671,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under29c4,074$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.365757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c3,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.723663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c2,105$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.4437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over72c1,936$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Over51c1,771$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c1,542$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.711,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c1,524$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.226060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,341$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.6162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over55c1,112$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6151729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed Over57c877.78$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.791346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4086756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under21c700.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.921020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under48c668.85$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over50c609.42$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Over74c519.98$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x604d…0acfbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15313655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over33c299.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.998046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over35c291.6$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Under70c285.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under45c250$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c249.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over32c229.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.415133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under50c213.2$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.627244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under40c211.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.894742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over34c209.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c156.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8312343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11e…eb4fbacked Under67c141.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.25364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked Over43c116.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.63265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over48c95.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over53c78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under45c75.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.358447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd716…bad1backed Over37c67.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.64062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.64656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under47c59.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5510348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under50c58.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Over42c46.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c37.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ef…fa7bbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f36…e433backed Over69c36.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over65c35.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over55c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Over79c34.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.49742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over55c34.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under47c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+88.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Over51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over73c30.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Under74c27.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over76c26.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under49c24.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.371376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+71.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed Over54c23.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed Over79c22.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over47c21.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3418360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…c7aabacked Under66c18.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba8…158dbacked Over57c18.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.