TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paris FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Paris FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC71c34,972$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Paris FC29c14,272$4,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,133.418447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paris FC28c11,449$3,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,298.31,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Paris FC34c9,909$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,539.936454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paris FC36c6,686$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,286.911,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Paris FC32c3,170$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.175757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c3,090$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.1131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC68c2,605$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.44151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65bb…dad7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC70c2,167$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Paris FC30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9817329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6135…9b85backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c1,399$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Paris FC34c1,399$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.186060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c1,220$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.42231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Paris Saint-Germain FC69c1,124$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.569355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Paris Saint-Germain FC67c889.96$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Paris FC34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5286756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Paris FC45c717.29$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.5237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked Paris FC43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC71c449.82$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Paris FC34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Paris FC36c370.88$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3727244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Paris Saint-Germain FC65c301.53$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.033729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Paris FC33c300$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Paris FC34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19813655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC35c282.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC59c262.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.96245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Paris Saint-Germain FC64c237.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Paris Saint-Germain FC69c214$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Paris Saint-Germain FC64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Paris Saint-Germain FC67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1341464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c195.8$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.386942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Paris Saint-Germain FC70c171.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC69c149.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb08f…29a2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Paris Saint-Germain FC70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Paris FC32c140$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.26836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Paris Saint-Germain FC68c140$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Paris Saint-Germain FC47c131.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.96119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Paris FC41c124.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7312343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Paris FC34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.25364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC60c113$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC70c110$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Paris FC34c104.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.181376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+71.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c96.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.628942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Paris FC33c92.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Paris FC34c92.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.264742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed Paris FC30c91.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…6b5cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC67c87.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.641216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC66c84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7510348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Paris FC27c77.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Paris Saint-Germain FC70c75.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Paris FC32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Paris FC32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Paris FC34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Paris Saint-Germain FC69c56.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca7…6e6ebacked Paris FC30c54.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Paris FC32c53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+122.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC34c49.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Paris FC32c47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.96650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Paris FC30c44.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c43.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.994445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Paris FC30c41.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.423348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Paris FC34c41.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Paris FC36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.68355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Paris FC40c39.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Paris Saint-Germain FC40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC34c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.562334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9551…2517backed Paris FC37c32.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+75%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18eb…a597backed Paris Saint-Germain FC58c30.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+144.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf772…3abcbacked Paris FC38c29.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+96.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Paris Saint-Germain FC69c28.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC66c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC68c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paris FC52c23.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.318360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Paris Saint-Germain FC68c23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa464…fbd2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c21.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC63c21.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.215040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Paris Saint-Germain FC69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x550b…90c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC64c19.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b5…f569backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c19.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC66c19.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Paris Saint-Germain FC68c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbe…9eabbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC58c18.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC68c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.