Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee668502ccdeb8ae24031087977ec260e96aee409018e6644ee4890df73b8c26

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Davidson Wildcatsof George Washington Revolutionaries, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved: Jan 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $294,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $294,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Davidson Wildcats	60c	277,857$166,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111,211.44	359	45.1%162 W · 197 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked George Washington Revolutionaries	40c	250,000$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,000	217	54.8%119 W · 98 L	+15.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed George Washington Revolutionaries	40c	17,350$6,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,940.14	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats	58c	7,276$4,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.06	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed George Washington Revolutionaries	41c	6,000$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,459.99	285	39.6%113 W · 172 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	40c	3,726$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.27	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed George Washington Revolutionaries	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Davidson Wildcats	59c	2,730$1,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.3	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	41c	1,412$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.92	169	54.4%92 W · 77 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd829…95f9backed George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	1,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	909.09$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	557	49.2%274 W · 283 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	600$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	212	48.1%102 W · 110 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked George Washington Revolutionaries	41c	600$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	1,227	27.8%341 W · 886 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	417	52.5%219 W · 198 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed George Washington Revolutionaries	41c	469$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.12	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	375$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed George Washington Revolutionaries	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	200	46.5%93 W · 107 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed George Washington Revolutionaries	37c	150$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.2	167	55.7%93 W · 74 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed George Washington Revolutionaries	36c	128.12$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.88	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+12.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed George Washington Revolutionaries	38c	113.7$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.63	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Davidson Wildcats	62c	110$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	153	56.2%86 W · 67 L	+14.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed George Washington Revolutionaries	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	172	58.7%101 W · 71 L	+14.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf11e…eb4fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Davidson Wildcats	62c	94$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.87	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed George Washington Revolutionaries	42c	90$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Davidson Wildcats	58c	69$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed George Washington Revolutionaries	41c	67.42$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.64	92	57.6%53 W · 39 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed George Washington Revolutionaries	41c	63.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	62.18$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.74	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked George Washington Revolutionaries	47c	62$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	1,124	46.4%521 W · 603 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Davidson Wildcats	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed George Washington Revolutionaries	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed George Washington Revolutionaries	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	268	48.1%129 W · 139 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	27.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	125	60%75 W · 50 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	25.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Davidson Wildcats	58c	20.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-12.5)this page
Davidson Wildcats vs. George Washington RevolutionariesDavidson Wildcats won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event