Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68625a3cc14c3e08757001ff4499dd31aaa7548b3a4c428eee4ba9edc5575bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marist Red Foxesof Marist Red Foxes, Rider Broncs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $781,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Marist Red Foxes | 50c | 724,013$359,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364,697.87 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rider Broncs | 50c | 300,000$150,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Rider Broncs | 51c | 268,291$136,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,828.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Rider Broncs | 50c | 146,088$73,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,044.2 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 49c | 48,098$23,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,736.71 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rider Broncs | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Rider Broncs | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rider Broncs | 50c | 4,687$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Rider Broncs | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rider Broncs | 51c | 3,382$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.82 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rider Broncs | 51c | 3,239$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rider Broncs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rider Broncs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Rider Broncs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Rider Broncs | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs | 50c | 999$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Marist Red Foxes | 48c | 619.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.82 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Rider Broncs | 53c | 564.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Rider Broncs | 50c | 494.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Rider Broncs | 54c | 444.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rider Broncs | 51c | 418.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Rider Broncs | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rider Broncs | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Marist Red Foxes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Rider Broncs | 53c | 220.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Rider Broncs | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Rider Broncs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 47c | 102.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Rider Broncs | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Rider Broncs | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Rider Broncs | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rider Broncs | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Rider Broncs | 25c | 90.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…eb4fbacked Marist Red Foxes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rider Broncs | 53c | 64.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 55.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Rider Broncs | 47c | 53.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Marist Red Foxes | 47c | 51.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Marist Red Foxes | 48c | 45.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Rider Broncs | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Marist Red Foxes | 47c | 38.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Rider Broncs | 53c | 36.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Rider Broncs | 53c | 33.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed Rider Broncs | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marist Red Foxes | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Rider Broncs | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Marist Red Foxes | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Marist Red Foxes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Rider Broncs | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-11.5)this page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider BroncsMarist Red Foxes won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 128.5Under won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 129.5Under won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 130.5Under won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-10.5)Marist Red Foxes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.