Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 131.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x182697ee8c0af60dc345b31731840f5c9cba747c7590705c671ebb7cbd786274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 579,624$307,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307,184.13 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 300,000$141,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 114,492$53,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,680.56 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.83 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 8,025$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171.04 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 3,009$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.07 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,178$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Over | 53c | 1,814$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.33 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,673$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 828.5$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 49c | 575.51$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 48c | 518.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 48c | 454.08$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 336.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 51c | 298$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 20c | 232.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 229$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Under | 49c | 223.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Over | 52c | 210$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Over | 52c | 170.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 141.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Under | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74a…8cd9backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 54.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Over | 54c | 53.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 50.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 39.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 49c | 35.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Under | 47c | 33.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 48c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…0ab0backed Under | 64c | 31.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 49c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…fb93backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 54c | 21.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…9e57backed Under | 60c | 16.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 131.5this page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider BroncsMarist Red Foxes won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 128.5Under won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 129.5Under won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 130.5Under won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-10.5)Marist Red Foxes won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-11.5)Marist Red Foxes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.