TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina Central Eaglesof North Carolina Central Eagles, Morgan State Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$961,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$963,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $961,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed North Carolina Central Eagles52c615,904$319,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295,995.6735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Morgan State Bears48c300,000$144,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,0004148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Morgan State Bears48c300,000$144,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,999.999050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked North Carolina Central Eagles52c137,309$71,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,908.5121754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Morgan State Bears48c101,295$48,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,623.1269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Morgan State Bears49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7004050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Morgan State Bears47c22,441$10,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,547.211118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-60.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c13,953$7,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,558.095759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Morgan State Bears47c11,462$5,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,378.9513154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Morgan State Bears48c7,122$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.555,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked North Carolina Central Eagles49c6,869$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,483.2211555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked North Carolina Central Eagles54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7601428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Morgan State Bears48c4,500$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1602759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed North Carolina Central Eagles52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.0117050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Morgan State Bears49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2257353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Morgan State Bears48c2,185$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked North Carolina Central Eagles50c2,171$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.365143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Morgan State Bears50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Morgan State Bears48c1,510$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.994,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Morgan State Bears48c1,400$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6771250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed North Carolina Central Eagles54c741.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Morgan State Bears49c683.63$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.591,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Morgan State Bears50c631$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.718937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked North Carolina Central Eagles53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.042941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Morgan State Bears48c538.87$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2714151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Morgan State Bears48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed North Carolina Central Eagles52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Morgan State Bears49c347.77$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4118046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.155147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Morgan State Bears51c253.47$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2716954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Morgan State Bears49c251.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Morgan State Bears48c214.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9675447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Morgan State Bears48c207.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.521050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Morgan State Bears49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Morgan State Bears49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Morgan State Bears48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Morgan State Bears52c197.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.171442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed North Carolina Central Eagles56c185.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0118844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…d969backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c185.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked North Carolina Central Eagles52c172.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.628351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Morgan State Bears49c157.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0218646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7818…1aadbacked Morgan State Bears52c145.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Morgan State Bears49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…1470backed Morgan State Bears52c128.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Morgan State Bears47c127.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked North Carolina Central Eagles50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617255.6%40 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e0f…a96bbacked North Carolina Central Eagles51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Morgan State Bears49c117.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4215844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5081…cf94backed North Carolina Central Eagles52c114.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.661050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Morgan State Bears47c111.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5250546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11e…eb4fbacked Morgan State Bears48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…e731backed North Carolina Central Eagles52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed North Carolina Central Eagles52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Morgan State Bears48c94.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.474,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda14…8efdbacked Morgan State Bears53c93.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Morgan State Bears48c92.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8657335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Morgan State Bears49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed North Carolina Central Eagles50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Morgan State Bears50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c74.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.013452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Morgan State Bears51c71.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.654,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d8…af3ebacked North Carolina Central Eagles54c67.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.09850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c62.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed North Carolina Central Eagles50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Morgan State Bears48c59.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.751,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9918241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c53.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9219657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked North Carolina Central Eagles53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.515156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c48.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.824055%22 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c47.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19056.7%51 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Morgan State Bears50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed North Carolina Central Eagles50c45.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.872965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed North Carolina Central Eagles54c44.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked North Carolina Central Eagles53c41.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.375950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked North Carolina Central Eagles54c40.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.745731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Morgan State Bears49c40.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Morgan State Bears48c40.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2519050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Morgan State Bears50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-59.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Morgan State Bears51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7411159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c37.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Morgan State Bears48c35.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.261973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked North Carolina Central Eagles53c35.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.887251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75da…fc93backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c32.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.272259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Morgan State Bears50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dec…61b7backed Morgan State Bears50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Morgan State Bears50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e92…9653backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Morgan State Bears50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Morgan State Bears52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c21.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.293360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Morgan State Bears50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x756d…04a9backed Morgan State Bears50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked North Carolina Central Eagles52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…77c6backed Morgan State Bears50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4d…5418backed Morgan State Bears52c19.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.