Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487627a9fc45cc9467a74d9c8289139693084e419a4f1c1eca12b16222464279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 40c | 2,143$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 1,993$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 37c | 592.22$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 59c | 170.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 61c | 141$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 41c | 130.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 58c | 86.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 59c | 74.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 71.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 43c | 62.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 63c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaa…ffe3backed Under | 75c | 48.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 39c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…6b1abacked Under | 61c | 39.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 41c | 37.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 35.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…84babacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 148.5this page
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State BearsNorth Carolina Central Eagles won
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 142.5Over won
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 143.5Over won
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 144.5Over won
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 145.5Over won
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 146.5Over won
- North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-1.5)North Carolina Central Eagles won
- Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)North Carolina Central Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.