TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
North Carolina Central Eaglesof North Carolina Central Eagles, Morgan State Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,230 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina Central Eagles60c584.19$348 inWon+$236.382,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Morgan State Bears41c565.93$232 inLost-$232.038937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed North Carolina Central Eagles54c464.48$250 inWon+$214.4813350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Morgan State Bears47c283.88$133 inLost-$133.424,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Morgan State Bears48c263.91$126 inLost-$125.925,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Morgan State Bears46c250$115 inLost-$11549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Morgan State Bears47c200$93 inLost-$931,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Central Eagles53c169.15$90 inWon+$79.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina Central Eagles52c141.99$74 inWon+$68.162,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Morgan State Bears16c125$20 inLost-$20.145,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Carolina Central Eagles55c124$68 inWon+$55.662,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Morgan State Bears45c100$45 inLost-$4527048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked North Carolina Central Eagles57c80$46 inWon+$34.46653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Carolina Central Eagles53c71.39$38 inWon+$33.531,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed North Carolina Central Eagles56c66$37 inWon+$29.045265.4%34 W · 18 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Morgan State Bears46c54.69$25 inLost-$254,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Morgan State Bears46c32.48$15 inLost-$14.941,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Morgan State Bears46c26.67$12 inLost-$12.251,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Morgan State Bears49c20.73$10 inLost-$10.161,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.