NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627c7f210b134f22ec14904294fa6d53de25ea300768475070926bc404193292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 16,914$9,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,061.34 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 11,260$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,129.4 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 8,562$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.69 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…a4d0backed Under | 52c | 5,423$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…5e6cbacked Under | 52c | 4,810$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over | 46c | 4,530$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…5039backed Over | 48c | 4,160$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…8ea8backed Under | 52c | 3,725$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…da7ebacked Under | 52c | 3,710$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…5036backed Over | 48c | 3,705$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…6045backed Over | 48c | 3,518$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…aed5backed Over | 48c | 3,378$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 3,052$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.24 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 2,952$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…45b5backed Over | 48c | 2,847$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…6086backed Under | 52c | 2,740$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 52c | 2,650$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,647$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…0b86backed Under | 51c | 2,478$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…245fbacked Over | 49c | 2,426$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 45c | 2,368$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.23 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…cc7bbacked Over | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…d44bbacked Over | 48c | 2,212$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…be84backed Under | 52c | 2,203$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…1d5ebacked Over | 48c | 2,144$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…32a7backed Over | 48c | 2,015$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…bbe0backed Over | 48c | 2,013$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,010$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d5…759ebacked Over | 48c | 2,010$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…04e1backed Over | 64c | 2,000$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…aacfbacked Under | 53c | 1,991$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39db…d185backed Under | 52c | 1,988$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…96c8backed Over | 49c | 1,925$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf0…01b5backed Over | 49c | 1,887$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35a…3017backed Under | 52c | 1,874$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab73…293ebacked Under | 52c | 1,822$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…93c2backed Over | 48c | 1,808$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 1,784$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.01 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…4a26backed Over | 49c | 1,636$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…7fdcbacked Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…f95abacked Over | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Under | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 1,480$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.41 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Under | 51c | 1,447$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Over | 49c | 1,447$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.93 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…c5adbacked Under | 51c | 1,443$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda83…3a35backed Under | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…d6d7backed Under | 51c | 1,255$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…3a38backed Under | 52c | 1,202$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.58 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 1c | 1,112$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 1,104$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…c91dbacked Under | 51c | 1,052$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…92c1backed Under | 51c | 1,043$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 1,030$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.2 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 51c | 1,007$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.55 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…1547backed Over | 49c | 994$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…18febacked Under | 51c | 991$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde83…82f8backed Over | 49c | 939$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 6c | 889$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9c…5609backed Over | 49c | 881$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 40c | 843.29$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.24 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…35bdbacked Under | 52c | 801$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 5c | 700$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…27c4backed Over | 48c | 622$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.23 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed Under | 55c | 500$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c82ebacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Under | 4c | 450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 56c | 444.25$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 53c | 419.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed77…699ebacked Under | 52c | 410$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…5092backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 69c | 392.51$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 51c | 375.67$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Under | 57c | 350.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 8c | 335$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Over | 30c | 334$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 312.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 57c | 307.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 274.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 260.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 259$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…32d6backed Under | 77c | 240.25$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…d2bbbacked Under | 72c | 227.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…0714backed Under | 52c | 219$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 40c | 211.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Under | 56c | 203.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 195.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 194$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5this page
- Nuggets vs. MavericksNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.