NHL · resolved market
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Charlotte Checkers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad319dcd5646ea88f582c2c3fe35b5734dd502f470c9e6acd0bf1a1017c76b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsof Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins, Charlotte Checkers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Charlotte Checkers | 47c | 2,887$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.54 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 53c | 1,289$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.48 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4397…fe1ebacked Charlotte Checkers | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…8846backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 52c | 1,005$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fc…175abacked Charlotte Checkers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…b5fbbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 53c | 500$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 52c | 232.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Charlotte Checkers | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…336dbacked Charlotte Checkers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Charlotte Checkers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Charlotte Checkers | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Charlotte Checkers | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Charlotte Checkers | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…bf82backed Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…fd34backed Charlotte Checkers | 48c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…7f6abacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 52c | 22.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d2…f9aebacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…bbfabacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.