Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x837e95738ff2e6b511763cfdaa9533542cc580fc9d20a58b2d04807a117932c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 13c | 1,357$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.74 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 14c | 1,249$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.12 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 874.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Under | 58c | 782.04$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 60c | 338.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Under | 78c | 295.32$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 200.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 14c | 157.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…75cebacked Over | 48c | 105.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 33c | 100.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…fe20backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 92.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…ce1cbacked Over | 14c | 90$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 36c | 70.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 53.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 64c | 20.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…7b6bbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.