Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6f9de1d372a43977506fd9b0a6a36a5682c988cd0ec60faee9e4e47b0ddb7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 1c | 10,613$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 3,418$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.92 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 76c | 2,400$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 72c | 2,320$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.57 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 1,980$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.04 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 76c | 1,580$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 76c | 1,321$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.57 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 76c | 1,042$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 788.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 26c | 639.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 18c | 571.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 24c | 242$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 24c | 240.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 26c | 235.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 27c | 186.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…b19cbacked Over | 77c | 113.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 111.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 97.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 28c | 38.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.