MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7a142727991dfc4bf49ee38e92568f142cb20bbd6b7fb5496af67c7fada6e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 59,440$34,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,473.64 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 18,687$8,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,601.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 12,281$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 11,118$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 10,437$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 7,354$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.24 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 5,550$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.27 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 4,713$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.56 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 3,401$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.94 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 3,212$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.55 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 2,713$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,295$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.04 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,888$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 1,601$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 1,594$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.35 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,551$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.38 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,488$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.14 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 1,044$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.69 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 1,040$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,040$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 1,021$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.04 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 994.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 918.25$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.72 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 860.32$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 776.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.35 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 763.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 753$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 706.13$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 687.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 679.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.48 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 634.9$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.17 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 604.88$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 598$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 562.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.95 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 556.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.82 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 546.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.79 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 518.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.83 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 504$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 488.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 477$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 468$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 440.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 371.9$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 353.12$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 337.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 331.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 322.66$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 315.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.27 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 292.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 290.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 282.42$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 265$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 240.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 228.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 223.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 211.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 204$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 199.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 199.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 195$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 192.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 186.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 160.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 160.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 149.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 135$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 118.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 112.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 109.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…2f9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 105.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 103$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…1e5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 98.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.